LEADER 03436nam 22008175 450 001 9910960579403321 005 20250609110041.0 010 $a9786610283033 010 $a9781403936530 010 $a1403936536 010 $a9781280283031 010 $a1280283033 010 $a9780230005815 010 $a0230005810 024 7 $a10.1057/9780230005815 035 $a(CKB)1000000000239555 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000143427 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11164680 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000143427 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10111748 035 $a(PQKB)10066527 035 $a(DE-He213)978-0-230-00581-5 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC343796 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL343796 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10103760 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL28303 035 $a(OCoLC)559941687 035 $a(Perlego)3478977 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4323377 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000239555 100 $a20151123d2005 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurnn|008mamaa 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aEconomic Forecasting /$fby N. Carnot, V. Koen, B. Tissot 205 $a1st ed. 2005. 210 1$aLondon :$cPalgrave Macmillan UK :$cImprint: Palgrave Macmillan,$d2005. 215 $a1 online resource (XIX, 315 p.) 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 08$a9781403936530 311 08$a1403936536 311 08$a9781403936547 311 08$a1403936544 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 292-302) and index. 327 $aCover -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- List of Boxes -- Foreword -- Acknowledgements -- Acronyms -- Introduction -- 1 First Principles -- 2 The Data -- 3 Incoming News and Near-Term Forecasting -- 4 Time Series Methods -- 5 Modelling Behaviour -- 6 Macroeconomic Models -- 7 Medium- and Long-Run Projections -- 8 Financial and Commodity Markets -- 9 Budget Forecasts -- 10 Sectoral Forecasting -- 11 Accuracy -- 12 Using the Forecasts -- 13 Communication Challenges -- 14 A Tour of the Forecasting Institutions -- Epilogue -- Bibliography -- Index. 330 $aEconomic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided. 606 $aMacroeconomics 606 $aEconomic policy 606 $aEconometrics 606 $aMacroeconomics and Monetary Economics 606 $aEconomic Policy 606 $aEconometrics 615 0$aMacroeconomics. 615 0$aEconomic policy. 615 0$aEconometrics. 615 14$aMacroeconomics and Monetary Economics. 615 24$aEconomic Policy. 615 24$aEconometrics. 676 $a330/.01/12 700 $aCarnot$b Nicolas$0630463 701 $aKoen$b Vincent$0630464 701 $aTissot$b Bruno$0630465 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910960579403321 996 $aEconomic forecasting$91205400 997 $aUNINA