LEADER 03374nam 22006612 450 001 9910956288303321 005 20151005020620.0 010 $a1-107-18389-8 010 $a1-281-37079-7 010 $a9786611370794 010 $a0-511-39441-1 010 $a0-511-48733-9 010 $a0-511-39243-5 010 $a0-511-39506-X 010 $a0-511-39110-2 010 $a0-511-39372-5 035 $a(CKB)1000000000413126 035 $a(EBL)336114 035 $a(OCoLC)437204697 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000217877 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11181554 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000217877 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10212341 035 $a(PQKB)10138144 035 $a(UkCbUP)CR9780511487330 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC336114 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL336114 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10224559 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL137079 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000413126 100 $a20090226d2008|||| uy| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur||||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 14$aThe paradox of predictivism /$fEric Christian Barnes 205 $a1st ed. 210 1$aCambridge :$cCambridge University Press,$d2008. 215 $a1 online resource (x, 265 pages) $cdigital, PDF file(s) 300 $aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015). 311 08$a1-107-40516-5 311 08$a0-521-87962-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 249-257) and index. 327 $aCover; Half-title; Title; Copyright; Dedication; Contents; Acknowledgments; CHAPTER 1 The paradox of predictivism; CHAPTER 2 Epistemic pluralism; CHAPTER 3 Predictivism and the Periodic Table of the Elements; CHAPTER 4 Miracle arguments and the demise of strong predictivism; CHAPTER 5 The predicting community; CHAPTER 6 Back to epistemic pluralism; CHAPTER 7 Postlude on old evidence; CHAPTER 8 A paradox resolved; Glossary; Bibliography; Index 330 $aAn enduring question in the philosophy of science is the question of whether a scientific theory deserves more credit for its successful predictions than it does for accommodating data that was already known when the theory was developed. In The Paradox of Predictivism, Eric Barnes argues that the successful prediction of evidence testifies to the general credibility of the predictor in a way that evidence does not when the evidence is used in the process of endorsing the theory. He illustrates his argument with an important episode from nineteenth-century chemistry, Mendeleev's Periodic Law and its successful predictions of the existence of various elements. The consequences of this account of predictivism for the realist/anti-realist debate are considerable, and strengthen the status of the 'no miracle' argument for scientific realism. Barnes's important and original contribution to the debate will interest a wide range of readers in philosophy of science. 606 $aScience$xPhilosophy 606 $aScience$xForecasting 615 0$aScience$xPhilosophy. 615 0$aScience$xForecasting. 676 $a501 700 $aBarnes$b Eric C$g(Eric Christian),$f1959-$01843158 801 0$bUkCbUP 801 1$bUkCbUP 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910956288303321 996 $aThe paradox of predictivism$94423988 997 $aUNINA