LEADER 00979nam--2200361---450- 001 990002831790203316 005 20061102143249.0 010 $a0-946536-47-3 035 $a000283179 035 $aUSA01000283179 035 $a(ALEPH)000283179USA01 035 $a000283179 100 $a20061102d1989----km-y0itay50------ba 101 $aeng 102 $aGB 105 $a||||||||001yy 200 1 $aNeural computing architectures$ethe design of brainlike machines$fedited by Igor Aleksander 210 $aLondon$cNorth Oxford Academic$d1989 215 $a401 p.$d24 cm. 410 0$12001 454 1$12001 461 1$1001-------$12001 606 0 $aReti neuronali 676 $a006.3 702 1$aALEKSANDER,$bIgor 801 0$aIT$bsalbc$gISBD 912 $a990002831790203316 951 $aMF/137$b1029$cMF 959 $aBK 969 $aDIMEC 979 $aDIMEC$b90$c20061102$lUSA01$h1432 996 $aNeural computing architectures$9993630 997 $aUNISA LEADER 05466oam 22014174 450 001 9910956116103321 005 20250426110705.0 010 $a9786613829177 010 $a9781462349791 010 $a146234979X 010 $a9781452705736 010 $a1452705739 010 $a9781283516723 010 $a1283516721 010 $a9781451910087 010 $a1451910088 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443843 035 $a(EBL)3012503 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000948591 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11561806 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000948591 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10950783 035 $a(PQKB)11426773 035 $a(OCoLC)568151148 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006295 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3012503 035 $a(IMF)WPIEA2006295 035 $aWPIEA2006295 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443843 100 $a20020129d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aProbabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt : $eA Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey /$fEvan Tanner, Issouf Samaké 205 $a1st ed. 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2006. 215 $a1 online resource (44 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"December 2006." 311 08$a9781451865554 311 08$a1451865554 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 39-42). 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY: SOME PREVIOUS WORK""; ""III. OVERVIEW OF OUR METHODOLOGY""; ""IV. BRAZIL, 2000a???05""; ""V. MEXICO""; ""VI. TURKEY""; ""VII. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS""; ""APPENDIX ECONOMETRIC METHODOLOGY AND ESTIMATES""; ""REFERENCES"" 330 3 $aThis paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) that includes fiscal and macroeconomic variables. Retrospectively, a historical decomposition shows by how much debt accumulation reflects unsustainable policy, adverse shocks, or both. Prospectively, Monte Carlo techniques reveal the primary surplus that is required to keep the debt/GDP ratio from rising in all but the worst 50 percent, 25 percent, and 10 percent of circumstances. Such a value-at-risk approach presents a clearer menu of policy options than currently used frameworks. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2006/295 606 $aDebts, Public$zBrazil$xEconometric models 606 $aDebts, Public$zMexico$xEconometric models 606 $aDebts, Public$zTurkey$xEconometric models 606 $aFiscal policy$zBrazil$xEconometric models 606 $aFiscal policy$zMexico$xEconometric models 606 $aFiscal policy$zTurkey$xEconometric models 606 $aAllocative Efficiency$2imf 606 $aBanks and Banking$2imf 606 $aCost-Benefit Analysis$2imf 606 $aCurrency$2imf 606 $aDebt Management$2imf 606 $aDebt$2imf 606 $aDebts, Public$2imf 606 $aExchange rates$2imf 606 $aFinance$2imf 606 $aFinancial services$2imf 606 $aFiscal Policy$2imf 606 $aFiscal policy$2imf 606 $aFiscal sustainability$2imf 606 $aForeign Exchange$2imf 606 $aForeign exchange$2imf 606 $aInterest rates$2imf 606 $aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aPolicy Coordination$2imf 606 $aPolicy Designs and Consistency$2imf 606 $aPolicy Objectives$2imf 606 $aPublic debt$2imf 606 $aPublic finance & taxation$2imf 606 $aPublic Finance$2imf 606 $aReal interest rates$2imf 606 $aSovereign Debt$2imf 607 $aBrazil$2imf 615 0$aDebts, Public$xEconometric models. 615 0$aDebts, Public$xEconometric models. 615 0$aDebts, Public$xEconometric models. 615 0$aFiscal policy$xEconometric models. 615 0$aFiscal policy$xEconometric models. 615 0$aFiscal policy$xEconometric models. 615 7$aAllocative Efficiency 615 7$aBanks and Banking 615 7$aCost-Benefit Analysis 615 7$aCurrency 615 7$aDebt Management 615 7$aDebt 615 7$aDebts, Public 615 7$aExchange rates 615 7$aFinance 615 7$aFinancial services 615 7$aFiscal Policy 615 7$aFiscal policy 615 7$aFiscal sustainability 615 7$aForeign Exchange 615 7$aForeign exchange 615 7$aInterest rates 615 7$aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aPolicy Coordination 615 7$aPolicy Designs and Consistency 615 7$aPolicy Objectives 615 7$aPublic debt 615 7$aPublic finance & taxation 615 7$aPublic Finance 615 7$aReal interest rates 615 7$aSovereign Debt 700 $aTanner$b Evan$01815982 701 $aSamaké$b Issouf$01136558 712 02$aIMF Institute. 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bAfrican Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910956116103321 996 $aProbabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt$94372471 997 $aUNINA