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010   $a3-031-48766-4
024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
035   $a(CKB)30597459500041
035   $a(MiAaPQ)EBC31200901
035   $a(Au-PeEL)EBL31200901
035   $a(DE-He213)978-3-031-48766-8
035   $a(EXLCZ)9930597459500041
100   $a20240228d2024      u|         0
101 0 $aeng
135   $aur|||||||||||
181   $ctxt$2rdacontent
182   $cc$2rdamedia
183   $acr$2rdacarrier
200 10$aClear Thinking $eStructured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers /$fby Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad
205   $a1st ed. 2024.
210  1$aCham :$cSpringer Nature Switzerland :$cImprint: Springer,$d2024.
215   $a1 online resource (259 pages)
225 1 $aProfessional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations,$x2731-9784
311 08$a3-031-48765-6 
327   $aChapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook.
330   $aThis book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
410  0$aProfessional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations,$x2731-9784
606   $aSecurity, International
606   $aPolitical science
606   $aCognitive psychology
606   $aPolitical leadership
606   $aWorld politics
606   $aInternational Security Studies
606   $aGovernance and Government
606   $aCognitive Psychology
606   $aPolitical Leadership
606   $aPolitical History
615  0$aSecurity, International.
615  0$aPolitical science.
615  0$aCognitive psychology.
615  0$aPolitical leadership.
615  0$aWorld politics.
615 14$aInternational Security Studies.
615 24$aGovernance and Government.
615 24$aCognitive Psychology.
615 24$aPolitical Leadership.
615 24$aPolitical History.
676   $a153.83
700   $aPherson$b Randolph H.$01732020
702   $aDonner$b Ole
702   $aGnad$b Oliver
801  0$bMiAaPQ
801  1$bMiAaPQ
801  2$bMiAaPQ
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910842300003321
996   $aClear Thinking$94145622
997   $aUNINA