LEADER 04352nam 2200757 a 450 001 9910824566603321 005 20230125182740.0 010 $a1-299-35598-6 010 $a1-60649-489-9 035 $a(CKB)2550000001016686 035 $a(EBL)1097919 035 $a(OCoLC)831121009 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000970152 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12423613 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000970152 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10999750 035 $a(PQKB)11785468 035 $a(OCoLC)834603633 035 $a(CaBNVSL)swl00402242 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1097919 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10678409 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL466848 035 $a(CaSebORM)9781606494882 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1097919 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000001016686 100 $a20130401d2013 fy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aDecision analysis for managers $ea guide for making better personal and business decisions /$fDavid Charlesworth 205 $a1st ed. 210 $a[New York, N.Y.] (222 East 46th Street, New York, NY 10017) $cBusiness Expert Press$d2013 215 $a1 online resource (150 p.) 225 1 $aQuantitative approaches to decision making collection,$x2163-9582 300 $aPart of: 2013 digital library. 311 $a1-60649-488-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. [129]) and index. 327 $aAcknowledgments -- Preface -- What is decision analysis? And why should I care? -- How to start framing a DA problem: how can we work together? -- The objectives hierarchy: what do we want? -- Decisions and alternatives: what can we do? -- Influence diagrams: what do we know? -- Uncertainty assessment: the boundary between known and unknown -- Building a deterministic model: time to run the numbers -- Tornado diagrams: figuring out what is important -- Cumulative probability: looking at the range of outcomes -- Value of information: how much is it worth to know? -- Multiattribute decision analysis: there's more to life than money -- Other topics: more things to think about -- Notes -- References -- Index. 330 3 $aEverybody has to make decisions--they are unavoidable. Yet we receive little or no education or training on how to make decisions. Business decisions can be difficult: which people to hire, which product lines or facilities to expand and which to sell or shut down, which bid or proposal to accept, which process to implement, how much R&D to invest in, which environmental projects should receive the highest priority, and so on. Even if you make the correct decision, you still have to get buy-in and commitment from your team, other management, and key stakeholders to successfully implement the decision. Personal decisions can be even more difficult: which college to attend, who to date, who to marry, which automobile to buy, which house to buy, whether to change jobs or not, where to go on vacation, when and where to retire, how to handle and treat a serious illness or health problem, and so on. Decision analysis (DA) is a time-tested set of tools (mental frameworks) which will help you and the teams you work with clarify and reach alignment on goals and objectives and understand trade-offs in reaching those goals, develop and examine alternatives, systematically analyze the effects of risk and uncertainty, and maximize the chances of achieving your goals and objectives. 410 0$a2013 digital library. 410 0$aQuantitative approaches to decision making collection.$x2163-9582 606 $aDecision making 610 $adecision analysis 610 $adecision and risk analysis (D&RA) 610 $amaking decisions 610 $apersonal decision making 610 $abusiness decision making 610 $atrade-offs 610 $adecision framing 610 $astrategic decision making 610 $auncertainty 610 $arisk 610 $adecision making under uncertainty 610 $aportfolio analysis 615 0$aDecision making. 676 $a658.403 700 $aCharlesworth$b David$01667201 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910824566603321 996 $aDecision analysis for managers$94026897 997 $aUNINA