LEADER 05563oam 22006255 450 001 9910823499103321 005 20170919014515.0 010 $a1-4648-0676-4 024 7 $a10.1596/978-1-4648-0675-9 035 $a(CKB)3710000000587487 035 $a(EBL)4397387 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4397387 035 $a(The World Bank)210675 035 $a(US-djbf)210675 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000587487 100 $a20020129d2016 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aGlobal Economic Prospects, January 2016 /$fWorldBank 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cThe World Bank,$d2016. 215 $a1 online resource (284 pages) 225 1 $aGlobal Economic Prospects 300 $a"A World Bank Group flagship report." 311 $a1-4648-0675-6 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references at the end of each chapters. 327 $aCover; Table of contents; Foreword; Acknowledgments; Executive Summary; Abbreviations; Chapter 1 Global Outlook: Disappointments, Risks, and Spillovers; Summary and key messages; Major economies; Global trends and spillovers; Developing countries; Risks to the outlook; Policy challenges; References; Special Focus: From Commodity Discovery to Production: Vulnerabilities and Policies in LICs; Introduction; Lead times between discovery and production; Evolution from commodity discovery to production; Determinants of the lead time; Policy implications 327 $aRecent developments and near-term outlook in low-income countriesAnnex SF.1; References; Chapter 2 Regional Outlooks; East Asia and Pacific; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.1.1 Regional integration and spillovers: East Asia and Pacific; Europe and Central Asia; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.2.1 Regional integration and spillovers: Europe and Central Asia; Latin America and the Caribbean; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.3.1 Regional integration and spillovers: Latin America and the Caribbean 327 $aMiddle East and North AfricaRecent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.4.1 Regional integration and spillovers: Middle East and North Africa; South Asia; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.5.1 Regional integration and spillovers: South Asia; Sub-Saharan Africa; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.6.1 Regional integration and spillovers: Sub-Saharan Africa; References; Chapter 3 Who Catches a Cold When Emerging Markets Sneeze?; Introduction; What are the key channels of spillovers from the major emerging markets? 327 $aDo business cycles in BRICS move in tandem with those in other emerging markets and frontier markets?How large are the spillovers from the major emerging markets?; What are the policy implications?; Conclusion; Box 3.1 Sources of the growth slowdown in BRICS; Box 3.2 Understanding cross-border growth spillovers; Box 3.3 Within-region spillovers; Annex 3.1 Data; Annex 3.2 Methodology; Annex 3.3 Empirical estimates of spillovers from emerging markets; References; Chapter 4 Two Topical Issues; Potential Macroeconomic Implications of the Trans-Pacific Partnership; Introduction 327 $aHow do new generation trade agreements differ from traditional FTAs?What are the main features of the Trans-Pacific Partnership?; What are the potential macroeconomic implications of the TPP?; Conclusion; Box 4.1.1 Regulatory convergence in mega-regional trade agreements; Annex 4.1 Methodology; Peg and Control? The Links between Exchange Rate Regimes and Capital Account Policies; Introduction; What does economic theory say about the choice of ERRs and CFMs?; What do the data say about ERRs and CFMs?; What are the main empirical linkages between the choices of ERR and CFM?; Conclusion 327 $aAnnex 4.2 Data and methodology 330 3 $aThe January 2016 edition of Global Economic Prospects discusses current global and regional economic developments and prospects, analyzing key challenges and opportunities confronting developing countries. This volume addresses, among other topics, spillovers from large emerging markets and macroeconomic vulnerabilities during resource development. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report. Semiannually (January and June), it examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on developing countries. The report includes analysis of topical policy challenges faced by developing countries through in-depth research in the January edition and shorter analytical pieces in the June edition. 410 0$aWorld Bank e-Library. 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zDeveloping countries$vPeriodicals 606 $aEconomic forecasting$vPeriodicals 606 $aEconomic history$y1990-$vPeriodicals 606 $aEconomic history$y1971-1990$vPeriodicals 606 $aInternational economic relations$vPeriodicals 607 $aDeveloping countries$xEconomic conditions$vPeriodicals 615 0$aEconomic forecasting 615 0$aEconomic forecasting 615 0$aEconomic history 615 0$aEconomic history 615 0$aInternational economic relations 676 $a330.91724 702 $aBasu$b Kaushik 801 0$bDJBF 801 1$bDJBF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910823499103321 996 $aGlobal Economic Prospects, January 2016$93964840 997 $aUNINA