LEADER 03017nam 2200601Ia 450 001 9910822178303321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4623-7300-3 010 $a1-4527-0271-3 010 $a1-283-51768-X 010 $a9786613830135 010 $a1-4519-0981-0 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443938 035 $a(EBL)3014534 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000943215 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11593669 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000943215 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10976958 035 $a(PQKB)11734706 035 $a(OCoLC)694141239 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006268 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014534 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443938 100 $a20060622d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aSpecification of a stochastic simulation model for assessing debt sustainability in emerging market economies /$fprepared by Doug Hostland and Philippe Karam 205 $a1st ed. 210 $a[Washington, D.C.] $cInternational Monetary Fund, Research Dept.$dc2006 215 $a1 online resource (35 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/06/268 300 $a"December 2006." 311 $a1-4518-6528-7 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. OVERVIEW""; ""II. MODEL STRUCTURE""; ""III. CALIBRATION METHODOLOGY""; ""IV. MODEL PROPERTIES""; ""V. CONCLUSIONS""; ""REFERENCES"" 330 3 $aThis paper documents the specification of a model that was constructed to assess debt sustainability in emerging market economies. Key features of the model include external and fiscal sectors, which allow assessment of external and public debt in a unified framework; public and external debt, which both have an explicit maturity structure along with a distinction between denomination in domestic versus foreign currency to facilitate debt management analysis; monetary and fiscal policy, which are endogenous and specified using explicit forward-looking policy rules; an endogenous risk premium on public and external debt; and a mechanism for invoking a sudden stop in private capital flows. The paper provides an overview of the basic structure of the model, outlines the methodology used to calibrate the parameters, and illustrates the key properties of the model with reference to dynamic responses of selected variables to shocks of interest. 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/06/268. 606 $aDebts, External$zDeveloping countries 606 $aEconomic development$zDeveloping countries 615 0$aDebts, External 615 0$aEconomic development 700 $aHostland$b Doug$01752809 701 $aKaram$b Philippe D$01752808 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910822178303321 996 $aSpecification of a stochastic simulation model for assessing debt sustainability in emerging market economies$94188279 997 $aUNINA