LEADER 03452nam 2200637Ia 450 001 9910821998103321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4623-1145-8 010 $a1-4519-9540-7 010 $a1-283-51687-X 010 $a9786613829320 010 $a1-4519-0962-4 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443858 035 $a(EBL)3014325 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000943289 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11484318 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000943289 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10994226 035 $a(PQKB)10427791 035 $a(OCoLC)698585511 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006249 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014325 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443858 100 $a20070509d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aTesting real interest parity in emerging markets /$f[prepared by] Manmohan Singh and Abhisek Banerjee 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aWashington, D.C. $cInternational Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Dept.$dc2006 215 $a1 online resource (22 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/06/249 300 $a"November 2006." 311 $a1-4518-6509-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 18-20). 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. DATA AND GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS""; ""III. METHODOLOGY""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL RESULTS""; ""V. CONCLUSION AND POLICY ISSUES""; ""References"" 330 3 $aThe paper finds significant deviations between short-term emerging market real interest rates and world real interest rates primarily due to the inflationary expectations of the local investor base. We test for long-run real interest convergence in emerging markets using a time varying panel unit root test proposed by Pesaran to capture the improved macro-economic fundamentals since early 1990s. We also estimate the speed of convergence in the presence of a shock. The paper suggests that real interest rates in the emerging markets show some convergence in the long run but real interest parity does not hold. Our results also find that the speed of adjustment of real rates to a shock is estimated to differ significantly across the emerging markets. Measured by their half-life, some emerging markets in Asia, E.Europe and S.Africa, where real interest rates are generally low, take much longer to adjust than where real interest rates are generally high (Latin America, Turkey). From a policy perspective, encouraging foreign investors to take direct exposure at the short end of the local debt market could lower the real interest rates in some emerging markets. 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/06/249. 606 $aInterest rates$zDeveloping countries$xEconometric models 606 $aGlobalization$zDeveloping countries$xEconometric models 606 $aMonetary policy$zDeveloping countries$xEconometric models 615 0$aInterest rates$xEconometric models. 615 0$aGlobalization$xEconometric models. 615 0$aMonetary policy$xEconometric models. 700 $aSingh$b Manmohan$f1964-$01754587 701 $aBanerjee$b Abhisek$01688906 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bMiddle East and Central Asia Dept. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910821998103321 996 $aTesting real interest parity in emerging markets$94201072 997 $aUNINA