LEADER 03468nam 2200493 450 001 9910821341503321 005 20200108014316.0 010 $a1-119-41600-0 010 $a1-119-41599-3 010 $a1-119-41598-5 035 $a(CKB)4340000000260692 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC5322518 035 $a(CaSebORM)9781119414575 035 $a(EXLCZ)994340000000260692 100 $a20180406h20182018 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $2rdacontent 182 $2rdamedia 183 $2rdacarrier 200 10$aProfit from your forecasting software $ea best practice guide for sales forecasters /$fPaul Goodwin 205 $a1st edition 210 1$aHoboken, New Jersey :$cWiley,$d2018. 210 4$dİ2018 215 $a1 online resource (223 pages) $cillustrations, tables, charts 225 1 $aWiley & SAS Business Series 300 $aDate of publication from resource description page. 311 $a1-119-41457-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references at the end of each chapters and index. 330 $aGo beyond technique to master the difficult judgement calls of forecasting A variety of software can be used effectively to achieve accurate forecasting, but no software can replace the essential human component. You may be new to forecasting, or you may have mastered the statistical theory behind the software?s predictions, and even more advanced ?power user? techniques for the software itself?but your forecasts will never reach peak accuracy unless you master the complex judgement calls that the software cannot make. Profit From Your Forecasting Software addresses the issues that arise regularly, and shows you how to make the correct decisions to get the most out of your software. Taking a non-mathematical approach to the various forecasting models, the discussion covers common everyday decisions such as model choice, forecast adjustment, product hierarchies, safety stock levels, model fit, testing, and much more. Clear explanations help you better understand seasonal indices, smoothing coefficients, mean absolute percentage error, and r-squared, and an exploration of psychological biases provides insight into the decision to override the software?s forecast. With a focus on choice, interpretation, and judgement, this book goes beyond the technical manuals to help you truly grasp the more intangible skills that lead to better accuracy. Explore the advantages and disadvantages of alternative forecasting methods in different situations Master the interpretation and evaluation of your software?s output Learn the subconscious biases that could affect your judgement toward intervention Find expert guidance on testing, planning, and configuration to help you get the most out of your software Relevant to sales forecasters, demand planners, and analysts across industries, Profit From Your Forecasting Software is the much sought-after ?missing piece? in forecasting reference. 410 0$aWiley and SAS business series. 606 $aSales forecasting 606 $aSales management$xData processing 615 0$aSales forecasting. 615 0$aSales management$xData processing. 676 $a658.8180285 700 $aGoodwin$b Paul$0783616 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910821341503321 996 $aProfit from your forecasting software$94100168 997 $aUNINA