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100   $a20020129d2005      uf         0
101 0 $aeng
135   $aur|n|---|||||
181   $ctxt
182   $cc
183   $acr
200 14$aThe Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience From Low-Income Countries /$fStephan Danninger, Annette Kyobe, M. Cangiano
210  1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2005.
215   $a1 online resource (34 p.)
225 1 $aIMF Working Papers
300   $aDescription based upon print version of record.
311   $a1-4518-6021-8 
327   $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. VARIETIES OF COUNTRY INSURANCE""; ""A. Capital Controls""; ""B. Self-Insurance""; ""C. Private Insurance""; ""D. IMF-Led Packages""; ""E. Regional Swap Agreements""; ""III. A NEW COUNTRY INSURANCE FACILITY""; ""A. Eligibility Criteria""; ""B. Interest Rate""; ""C. Duration""; ""D. Size""; ""E. Procedures""; ""F. The Exit Problem""; ""IV. FINAL REMARKS""
330 3 $aThis paper analyzes interference and timeliness in the revenue-forecasting process, using new data on revenue-forecasting practices in low-income countries. Interference is defined as the occurrence of a significant deviation from purely technical forecasts. A theoretical model explains forecasting interference through government corruption. The data broadly supports the model, and the results are robust to alternative explanations. The paper also constructs three indices-transparency, formality, and organizational simplicity-that characterize revenue-forecasting practices, and assesses their effectiveness in producing an upfront-that is, timely-budget envelope. More transparent and simple forecasting processes lead to early budget constraints, while formality has no measurable effect.
410  0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2005/002
606   $aCapital movements
606   $aElectronic books. -- local
606   $aFinancial crises
606   $aLenders of last resort
606   $aLiquidity (Economics)
606   $aPolitical Science$2HILCC
606   $aLaw, Politics & Government$2HILCC
606   $aPublic Finance$2HILCC
606   $aBudgeting$2imf
606   $aPublic Finance$2imf
606   $aTaxation$2imf
606   $aCriminology$2imf
606   $aTaxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General$2imf
606   $aNational Budget$2imf
606   $aBudget Systems$2imf
606   $aBureaucracy$2imf
606   $aAdministrative Processes in Public Organizations$2imf
606   $aCorruption$2imf
606   $aNational Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General$2imf
606   $aPublic finance & taxation$2imf
606   $aBudgeting & financial management$2imf
606   $aCorporate crime$2imf
606   $awhite-collar crime$2imf
606   $aRevenue forecasting$2imf
606   $aBudget planning and preparation$2imf
606   $aRevenue administration$2imf
606   $aExpenditure$2imf
606   $aTax policy$2imf
606   $aPublic financial management (PFM)$2imf
606   $aCrime$2imf
606   $aTax administration and procedure$2imf
606   $aBudget$2imf
606   $aRevenue$2imf
606   $aExpenditures, Public$2imf
607   $aUnited States$2imf
615  4$aCapital movements.
615  4$aElectronic books. -- local.
615  4$aFinancial crises.
615  4$aLenders of last resort.
615  4$aLiquidity (Economics).
615  7$aPolitical Science
615  7$aLaw, Politics & Government
615  7$aPublic Finance
615  7$aBudgeting
615  7$aPublic Finance
615  7$aTaxation
615  7$aCriminology
615  7$aTaxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General
615  7$aNational Budget
615  7$aBudget Systems
615  7$aBureaucracy
615  7$aAdministrative Processes in Public Organizations
615  7$aCorruption
615  7$aNational Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General
615  7$aPublic finance & taxation
615  7$aBudgeting & financial management
615  7$aCorporate crime
615  7$awhite-collar crime
615  7$aRevenue forecasting
615  7$aBudget planning and preparation
615  7$aRevenue administration
615  7$aExpenditure
615  7$aTax policy
615  7$aPublic financial management (PFM)
615  7$aCrime
615  7$aTax administration and procedure
615  7$aBudget
615  7$aRevenue
615  7$aExpenditures, Public
700   $aDanninger$b Stephan$01674585
701   $aKyobe$b Annette$01674586
701   $aCangiano$b M$01594853
801  0$bDcWaIMF
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910820340103321
996   $aThe Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience From Low-Income Countries$94039517
997   $aUNINA