LEADER 05456nam 2200769Ia 450 001 9910820015703321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-134-76226-7 010 $a1-134-76227-5 010 $a0-203-43974-0 010 $a0-585-45331-4 010 $a1-280-31984-4 010 $a9786610319848 024 7 $a10.4324/9780203439746 035 $a(CKB)1000000000252959 035 $a(StDuBDS)AH3709774 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000229418 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11239449 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000229418 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10172222 035 $a(PQKB)10063817 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000307183 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11255207 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000307183 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10260830 035 $a(PQKB)10478916 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC166910 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL166910 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10061141 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL31984 035 $a(OCoLC)252774040 035 $a(OCoLC)52741900 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000252959 100 $a19960614d1997 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aProspects of democracy $ea study of 172 countries /$fTatu Vanhanen 210 $aLondon ;$aNew York $cRoutledge$d1997 215 $a1 online resource (392 p.) 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a0-415-14406-X 311 $a0-415-14405-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. [345]-360) and index. 327 $tpart, Part I Comparative analysis of democratization -- $tchapter Introduction -- $tchapter 1 Theoretical interpretations of democratization -- $tchapter 2 Research design -- $tchapter 3 Empirical analysis of democratization: 1850?1993 -- $tchapter 4 Predictions for single countries by regions -- $tchapter 5 Conclusions: Regularities since the 1850s -- $tchapter Appendices -- $tpart, Part II Comments -- $tchapter 6 Tatu Vanhanen thesis and the prospects of democracy in Latin America /$r Mitchell A.Seligson -- $tchapter 8 On statistical correlates of democratization and prospects of democratization in Africa -- $tSome issues of construction, inference and prediction /$r Samuel Decalo -- $tchapter 9 Some observations on prospects of democracy in the contemporary world -- $tAfrica?s transition to a democratic governance system /$r John W.Forje -- $tchapter 10 Prospects of democracy in Oceania /$r John Henderson. 330 $bThis book provides the most extensive comparative survey of the state and conditions of democracy ever made. It focuses on 172 contemporary states, with historical data on the measures of democracy and on explanatory variables extending back to the 1850's. It presents a comprehensive exploration of democratization, its successes and failures, making predictions on the prospects for democracy for single countries and for seven regions of the world. As well as presenting empirical analyses of democratization on the basis of Vanhanens's resource distribution theory of democratization and making predictions on the prospects, the book includes contributions from five commentators, Mitchell A. Seligson on Latin America, Samuel Decalo and John W. Forje on Africa, John Henderson on Oceania and Ilter Turan on why some of the countires that pass Vanhanen's democratic threshold cannot in fact be seen as democracies. The volume also includes an introductory chapter which examines and compares other theoretical interpretations of democratization. Prospects for Democracy will be essential reading for all serious students of comparative politics and democracy. This book provides the most extensive comparative survey of the state and conditions of democracy ever made. It focuses on 172 contemporary states, with historical data on the measures of democracy and on explanatory variables extending back to the 1850's. It presents a comprehensive exploration of democratization, its successes and failures, making predictions on the prospects for democracy for single countries and for seven regions of the world. As well as presenting empirical analyses of democratization on the basis of Vanhanens's resource distribution theory of democratization and making predictions on the prospects, the book includes contributions from five commentators, Mitchell A. Seligson on Latin America, Samuel Decalo and John W. Forje on Africa, John Henderson on Oceania and Ilter Turan on why some of the countries that pass Vanhanen's democratic threshold cannot in fact be seen as democracies. The volume also includes an introductory chapter which examines and compares other theoretical interpretations of democratization. Prospects for Democracy will be essential reading for all serious students of comparative politics and democracy. 606 $aDemocracy$xHistory 606 $aWorld politics$y1945-1989 606 $aWorld politics$y1989- 606 $aWorld politics$y19th century 606 $aWorld politics$y20th century 615 0$aDemocracy$xHistory. 615 0$aWorld politics 615 0$aWorld politics 615 0$aWorld politics 615 0$aWorld politics 676 $a321.8 700 $aVanhanen$b Tatu$0568014 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910820015703321 996 $aProspects of democracy$91260550 997 $aUNINA