LEADER 03185nam 2200577 450 001 9910819925003321 005 20230807212524.0 010 $a0-19-025759-8 010 $a0-19-025731-8 035 $a(CKB)3710000000336186 035 $a(OCoLC)900193761 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebrary11005190 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001455411 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11783166 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001455411 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11392722 035 $a(PQKB)11146739 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1920734 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1920734 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr11005190 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL692140 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000336186 100 $a20150126h20152015 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 14$aThe improbable war $eChina, the United States and the logic of great power conflict /$fChristopher Coker 210 1$aOxford, [England] ;$aNew York, New York :$cOxford University Press,$d2015. 210 4$dİ2015 215 $a1 online resource (230 p.) 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a1-322-60858-X 311 $a0-19-939627-2 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aIntroduction -- 1. Historical Analogies and the Logic of History -- 2. Dominant Conflicts and the Logic of Great Power Conflict -- 3. Strategic Narratives and the Logic of Strategy -- 4. War (and its Protean Logic) -- 5. Conclusion -- Bibliography -- Index 330 $aThe Improbable War explains why conflict between the USA and China cannot be ruled out. In 1914 war between the Great Powers was considered unlikely, yet it happened. We learn only from history, and popular though the First World War analogy is, the lessons we draw from its outbreak are usually mistaken. Among these errors is the tendency to over-estimate human rationality. All major conflicts of the past 300 years have been about the norms and rules of the international system. In China and the US the world confronts two'exceptional'powers whose values differ markedly, with China bidding to challenge the current order. The'Thucydidean Trap'- when a conservative status quo power confronts a rising new one - may also play its part in precipitating hostilities. To avoid stumbling into an avoidable war both Beijing and Washington need a coherent strategy, which neither of them has. History also reveals that war evolves continually. The next global conflict is likely to be played out in cyberspace and outer space and like all previous wars it will have devastating consequences. Such a war between the United States and China may seem improbable, but it is all too possible, which is why we need to discuss it now. 606 $aWar 607 $aUnited States$xForeign relations$zChina 607 $aChina$xForeign relations$zUnited States 615 0$aWar. 676 $a355.02 700 $aCoker$b Christopher$0853991 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910819925003321 996 $aThe improbable war$94029296 997 $aUNINA