LEADER 03158nam 2200601Ia 450 001 9910819872503321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4623-8511-7 010 $a1-4527-4308-8 010 $a1-282-44835-8 010 $a1-4519-8410-3 010 $a9786613821546 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443192 035 $a(EBL)3014518 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000939958 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11592409 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000939958 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10938236 035 $a(PQKB)11045646 035 $a(OCoLC)694141217 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006160 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014518 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443192 100 $a20060622d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aU.S. dollar risk premiums and capital flows /$fprepared by Ravi Balakrishnan and Volodymyr Tulin 205 $a1st ed. 210 $a[Washington, D.C.] $cInternational Monetary Fund, Research Dept.$dc2006 215 $a1 online resource (29 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/06/160 300 $a"June 2006." 311 $a1-4518-6420-5 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY""; ""II. WHAT ARE RISK PREMIUMS ON THE DOLLAR AND HOW CAN WE MEASURE THEM? ""; ""III. CAPITAL FLOWS AND RISK PREMIUMS""; ""IV. EXPLAINING RISK PREMIUM MOVEMENTS""; ""V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""; ""DATA AND REGRESSION METHODOLOGY""; ""References"" 330 3 $aThis paper sheds light on the attractiveness of U.S. assets by studying dollar risk premiums, calculated using Consensus exchange rate forecasts, and linking them to bilateral capital flows. The paper finds that the presence of negative dollar risk premiums (i.e. expectations of a dollar depreciation net of interest rate effects) amid record capital inflows could suggest that investors may favor U.S. assets for structural reasons. One possible explanation could be that the Asian crisis created a large pool of savings searching for relatively riskless investment opportunities, which were provided by deep, liquid, and innovative U.S. financial markets with robust investor protection. Moreover, the continued attractiveness of U.S. financial markets to European investors suggests that they offer a large array of assets, with different risk/return characteristics, that facilitate the structuring of diversified investment portfolios. Looking forward, this suggests that the allocative efficiency of U.S. financial markets could mitigate risks of a disorderly unwinding of global current account imbalances. 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/06/160. 606 $aDollar, American 606 $aCapital movements 615 0$aDollar, American. 615 0$aCapital movements. 700 $aBalakrishnan$b Ravi$01614215 701 $aTulin$b Volodymyr$01631994 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910819872503321 996 $aU.S. Dollar Risk Premiums and Capital Flows$93970890 997 $aUNINA