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101 0 $aeng
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181   $ctxt$2rdacontent
182   $cc$2rdamedia
183   $acr$2rdacarrier
200 10$aSubjective probability $ethe real thing /$fRichard Jeffrey$b[electronic resource]
210  1$aCambridge :$cCambridge University Press,$d2004.
215   $a1 online resource (xvi, 124 pages) $cdigital, PDF file(s)
300   $aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).
311   $a0-521-53668-5 
311   $a0-521-82971-2 
320   $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 115-120) and index.
327   $aCover; Half-title; Title; Copyright; Dedication; Contents; Preface; 1 Probability Primer; 2 Testing Scientific Theories; 3 Probability Dynamics;  Collaboration; 4 Expectation Primer; 5 Updating on Statistics; 6 Choosing; References; Index
330   $aThis book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.
606   $aProbabilities
606   $aJudgment
615  0$aProbabilities.
615  0$aJudgment.
676   $a121/.63
700   $aJeffrey$b Richard C.$045068
801  0$bUkCbUP
801  1$bUkCbUP
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910818333403321
996   $aSubjective probability$9747645
997   $aUNINA