LEADER 01197nam0-22003851i-450 001 990002577730403321 005 20200415113827.0 010 $a3540075488 035 $a000257773 035 $aFED01000257773 035 $a(Aleph)000257773FED01 035 $a000257773 100 $a20030910d1976----km-y0itay50------ba 101 0 $aeng 102 $aDE 200 1 $aAdvances in complex function theory$eproceedings of seminars, held at Maryland University, 1973-74$fedited by W. E. Kirwan, L. Zalcman 210 $aBerlin$cSpringer Verlag$d1976 215 $a202 p.$d24 cm 225 1 $aLecture notes in mathematics$v505 610 0 $aFunzioni di una variabile complessa$aConvegni 676 $a505 702 1$aKirwan,$bWilliam E. 702 1$aZalcman,$bL. 710 12$aAdvances in complex function theory$e$0782711 801 0$aIT$bUNINA$gRICA$2UNIMARC 901 $aBK 912 $a990002577730403321 952 $aMXXXI-A-140$b524$fMAS 952 $aC-20-(505$b17609$fMA1 952 $a02 31 C 1$b2395$fFINBN 959 $aFINBN 959 $aMA1 959 $aMAS 996 $aAdvances in complex function theory$91737965 997 $aUNINA LEADER 04390oam 22010694 450 001 9910817190803321 005 20240402051511.0 010 $a1-4623-6888-3 010 $a1-4527-4804-7 010 $a1-282-84389-3 010 $a9786612843891 010 $a1-4518-7325-5 035 $a(CKB)3170000000055330 035 $a(EBL)1608415 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001477421 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11818672 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001477421 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11450170 035 $a(PQKB)11762841 035 $a(OCoLC)649426821 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2009178 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1608415 035 $a(EXLCZ)993170000000055330 100 $a20020129d2009 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aIncorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart 205 $a1st ed. 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2009. 215 $a1 online resource (23 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"August 2009." 311 $a1-4519-1751-1 327 $aContents; I. Introduction; II. Outline of Theory; A. Characterizing the Distribution of Global Growth; Box; 1. The Two-Piece Normal Distribution; B. Constructing Confidence Intervals; III. Using Survey- and Market-Based Information; Figures; 1. Constructing Confidence Intervals; A. Survey-based Measures; B. Market-based Measures; IV. An Example: Forecasting Global Growth; A. Choice of Risk Factors; Tables; 1. Estimated Elasticities and Skewness Coefficients; B. Estimating the Weighting Parameters .; C. Constructing the Fan Chart; D. Interpreting the Results 327 $a2. Dispersion of Forecasts for GDP and Selected Risk FactorsV. Conclusions; 3. Fan Chart for Global Growth and Skewness of Risk Factors; 4. Fan Chart for Global Growth Based on Direct Estimates of Variance and Skew; References 330 3 $aThis paper develops a simple procedure for incorporating market-based information into the construction of fan charts. Using the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s global growth forecast as a working example, the paper goes through the theoretical and practical considerations of this new approach. The resulting spreadsheet, which implements the approach, is available upon request from the authors. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2009/178 606 $aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models 606 $aTime-series analysis 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aInvestments: Options$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aEnergy: Demand and Supply$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aForecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications$2imf 606 $aPension Funds$2imf 606 $aNon-bank Financial Institutions$2imf 606 $aFinancial Instruments$2imf 606 $aInstitutional Investors$2imf 606 $aEconomic Forecasting$2imf 606 $aFinance$2imf 606 $aOil prices$2imf 606 $aAsset prices$2imf 606 $aGDP forecasting$2imf 606 $aOptions$2imf 606 $aNational income$2imf 606 $aDerivative securities$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models. 615 0$aTime-series analysis. 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aInvestments: Options 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aEnergy: Demand and Supply 615 7$aPrices 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aForecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications 615 7$aPension Funds 615 7$aNon-bank Financial Institutions 615 7$aFinancial Instruments 615 7$aInstitutional Investors 615 7$aEconomic Forecasting 615 7$aFinance 615 7$aOil prices 615 7$aAsset prices 615 7$aGDP forecasting 615 7$aOptions 615 7$aNational income 615 7$aDerivative securities 676 $a336.54 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910817190803321 996 $aIncorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart$93970040 997 $aUNINA