LEADER 05599nam 2200709 a 450 001 9910817050203321 005 20220429112322.0 010 $a1-118-51585-4 010 $a1-299-18988-1 010 $a1-118-51583-8 010 $a1-118-51584-6 035 $a(CKB)2670000000327483 035 $a(EBL)1119455 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000831923 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11482948 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000831923 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10890790 035 $a(PQKB)10758421 035 $a(DLC) 2012033650 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1119455 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10657559 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL450238 035 $a(PPN)170610934 035 $a(FR-PaCSA)88813241 035 $a(CaSebORM)9781118515846 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1119455 035 $a(OCoLC)806981314 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000327483 100 $a20120816d2013 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 00$aHandbook of decision analysis /$fGregory S. Parnell ... [et al.] 205 $a1st edition 210 $aHoboken, N.J. $cJohn Wiley & Sons$d2013 215 $a1 online resource (430 p.) 225 1 $aWiley handbooks in operations research and management science 225 0$aWiley handbooks in operations research and management science 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-118-17313-9 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aCover; Wiley Handbooks in OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCE; Title page; Copyright page; Contents; List of Figures; List of Tables; Foreword; Preface; Acknowledgments; About the Authors; Acronyms; Chapter One: Introduction to Decision Analysis; 1.1 Introduction; 1.2 Decision Analysis Is a Socio-Technical Process; 1.3 Decision Analysis Applications; 1.3.1 Oil and Gas Decision Analysis Success Story: Chevron; 1.3.2 Pharmaceutical Decision Analysis Success Story: SmithKline Beecham; 1.3.3 Military Decision Analysis Success Stories; 1.4 Decision Analysis Practitioners and Professionals 327 $a1.4.1 Education and Training1.4.2 Decision Analysis Professional Organizations; 1.4.3 Problem Domain Professional Societies; 1.4.4 Professional Service; 1.5 Handbook Overview and Illustrative Examples; 1.5.1 Roughneck North American Strategy (RNAS) (by Eric R. Johnson); 1.5.2 Geneptin Personalized Medicine for Breast Cancer (by Sean Xinghua Hu); 1.5.3 Data Center Location and IT Portfolio (by Gregory S. Parnell and Terry A. Bresnick); 1.6 Summary; Key Terms; References; Chapter Two: Decision-Making Challenges; 2.1 Introduction; 2.2 Human Decision Making; 2.3 Decision-Making Challenges 327 $a2.4 Organizational Decision Processes2.4.1 Culture; 2.4.2 Impact of Stakeholders; 2.4.3 Decision Level (Strategic, Operational, and Tactical); 2.5 Credible Problem Domain Knowledge; 2.5.1 Dispersion of Knowledge; 2.5.2 Technical Knowledge: Essential for Credibility; 2.5.3 Business Knowledge: Essential for Success; 2.5.4 Role of Experts; 2.5.5 Limitations of Experts; 2.6 Behavioral Decision Analysis Insights; 2.6.1 Decision Traps and Barriers; 2.6.2 Cognitive Biases; 2.7 Two Anecdotes: Long-Term Success and a Temporary Success of Supporting the Human Decision-Making Process 327 $a2.8 Setting the Human Decision-Making Context for the Illustrative Example Problems2.8.1 Roughneck North American Strategy (by Eric R. Johnson); 2.8.2 Geneptin Personalized Medicine (by Sean Xinghua Hu); 2.8.3 Data Center Decision Problem (by Gregory S. Parnell); 2.9 Summary; Key Terms; References; Chapter Three: Foundations of Decision Analysis; 3.1 Introduction; 3.2 Brief History of the Foundations of Decision Analysis; 3.3 Five Rules: Theoretical Foundation of Decision Analysis; 3.4 Scope of Decision Analysis; 3.5 Taxonomy of Decision Analysis Practice; 3.5.1 Terminology 327 $a3.5.2 Taxonomy Division: Single or Multiple Objectives3.5.3 Single-Objective Decision Analysis; 3.5.4 Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis; 3.5.5 Taxonomy Division: Addressing Value Trade-Offs and Risk Preference Separately or Together?; 3.5.6 Taxonomy Division: Nonmonetary or Monetary Value Metric?; 3.5.7 Taxonomy Division: Degree of Simplicity in Multidimensional Value Function; 3.6 Value-Focused Thinking; 3.6.1 Four Major VFT Ideas; 3.6.2 The Benefits of VFT; 3.7 Summary; Key Terms; Acknowledgments; References; Chapter Four: Decision Analysis Soft Skills; 4.1 Introduction 327 $a4.2 Thinking Strategically 330 $aA ONE-OF-A-KIND GUIDE TO THE BEST PRACTICES IN DECISION ANALYSIS Decision analysis provides powerful tools for addressing complex decisions that involve uncertainty and multiple objectives, yet most training materials on the subject overlook the soft skills that are essential for success in the field. This unique resource fills this gap in the decision analysis literature and features both soft personal/interpersonal skills and the hard technical skills involving mathematics and modeling. Readers will learn how to identify and overcome the numerous challenges of decision 410 0$aWiley Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science 606 $aDecision making 615 0$aDecision making. 676 $a658.4/03 701 $aParnell$b Gregory S$01706879 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910817050203321 996 $aHandbook of decision analysis$94126122 997 $aUNINA