LEADER 03572nam 2200709 a 450 001 9910816649103321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-8014-6718-7 010 $a1-322-50451-2 010 $a0-8014-6719-5 024 7 $a10.7591/9780801467196 035 $a(CKB)2550000001038560 035 $a(OCoLC)828738006 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebrary10648923 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000826731 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11464289 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000826731 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10826619 035 $a(PQKB)10621265 035 $a(DE-B1597)518279 035 $a(OCoLC)1100435481 035 $a(DE-B1597)9780801467196 035 $a(OCoLC)1153043157 035 $a(MdBmJHUP)muse58326 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3138418 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10648923 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL681733 035 $a(OCoLC)922998351 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3138418 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000001038560 100 $a19981029d1999 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aCauses of war$b[electronic resource] $epower and the roots of conflict /$fStephen Van Evera 210 $aIthaca $cCornell University Press$d1999 215 $a1 online resource (279 p.) 225 0 $aCornell Studies in Security Affairs 225 0$aCornell studies in security affairs 300 $aIncludes index. 311 $a0-8014-3201-4 311 $a0-8014-8295-X 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $tFrontmatter -- $tContents -- $tTables and Diagrams -- $tAcknowledgments -- $t1. Introduction -- $t2. False Optimism: illusions of the Coming War -- $t3. Jumping the Gun: First-Move Advantages and Crisis Instability -- $t4. Power Shifts: Windows of Opportunity and Vulnerability -- $t5. Cumulative Resources -- $t6. Offense, Defense, and the Security Dilemma -- $t7. Offense-Defense Theory and the Outbreak of World War I -- $t8. The Nuclear Revolution and the Causes of War -- $t9. Conclusion -- $tAppendix: Hypotheses on Power and the Causes of War -- $tIndex 330 $aWhat causes war? How can military conflicts best be prevented? In this book, Stephen Van Evera frames five conditions that increase the risk of interstate war: false optimism about the likely outcome of a war, a first-strike advantage, fluctuation in the relative power of states, circumstances that allow nations to parlay one conquest into another, and circumstances that make conquest easy.According to Van Evera, all but one of these conditions-false optimism-rarely occur today, but policymakers often erroneously believe in their existence. He argues that these misperceptions are responsible for many modern wars, and explores both World Wars, the Korean War, and the 1967 Mideast War as test cases. Finally, he assesses the possibility of nuclear war by applying all five hypotheses to its potential onset. Van Evera's book demonstrates that ideas from the Realist paradigm can offer strong explanations for international conflict and valuable prescriptions for its control. 606 $aWar 606 $aBalance of power 606 $aInternational relations$vCase studies 615 0$aWar. 615 0$aBalance of power. 615 0$aInternational relations 676 $a355.02/7 700 $aVan Evera$b Stephen$01609594 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910816649103321 996 $aCauses of war$93936889 997 $aUNINA