LEADER 04546nam 2200625 a 450 001 9910814765203321 005 20240401210846.0 010 $a1-118-51569-2 010 $a1-118-74524-8 010 $a1-118-51567-6 035 $a(CKB)2550000001111862 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000981330 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11530424 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000981330 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10989371 035 $a(PQKB)10093420 035 $a(DLC) 2013028162 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1469443 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10748711 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL511754 035 $a(OCoLC)852763675 035 $a(CaSebORM)9781118515693 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1469443 035 $a(OCoLC)868085290 035 $a(OCoLC)ocn868085290 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000001111862 100 $a20130712d2013 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 14$aThe road to recovery $ehow and why economic policy must change /$fAndrew Smithers ; [foreword by Martin Wolf] 205 $a1st edition 210 $aChichester, West Sussex $cJohn Wiley & Sons Ltd.$d2013 215 $axiii, 279 p. $ccol. ill 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a1-118-51566-8 311 $a1-299-80503-5 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aCover -- Title page -- Copyright page -- Contents -- Dedication -- Foreword -- 1: Introduction -- 2: Why the Recovery Has Been So Weak -- 3: Alternative Explanations for Today's Low Business Investment and High Profit Margins -- 4: Forecasting Errors in the UK and the US -- 5: Cyclical or Structural: The Key Issue for Policy -- 6: The Particular Problem of Finance and Banking -- 7: Japan Has a Similar Problem with a Different Cause -- 8: The End of the Post-War Era -- 9: Misinformation as a Barrier to Sound Policy Decisions -- 10: Avoiding Future Financial Crises -- 11: The Current High Level of Risk -- 12: Inflation -- 13: Prospects Not Forecasts -- 14: Tackling the Bonus Culture -- 15: The Need for Change in Economic Theory and the Resistance to It -- 16: Summary and Conclusions -- Appendix 1: Mean Reversion of US Profit Margins -- Appendix 2: Goods' Output Requires Much More Capital Than Service Output -- Bibliography -- A Note on Data Sources -- Acknowledgements -- Index. 330 $aRenowned economist Andrew Smithers offers prescriptive advice and economic theory on avoiding the next financial crisis In The Road to Recovery, Andrew Smithers?one of a handful of respected economists to have accurately predicted the most recent global financial crisis?argues that the neoclassical consensus governing global economic decision-making must be revised in order to avoid the next financial collapse. He argues that the current low interest rates and budget deficits have prevented the recession becoming a depression but that those policies cannot be continuously repeated and a new consensus for action must be found. He offers practical guidance on reducing government, household, and business debt; changing the economic incentives for the management class that currently inhibit long-term growth; and rebalancing national economies both internally and externally. Further, he explains how central bankers must broaden the economic theories that guide their decisions to include the major factors of debt and asset prices. Offers practical, real-world economic policies for restructuring and rebalancing the global economic system Presents a modern economic theory for preventing the next collapse Ideal for economists, investors, fund managers, and central bankers Written by an economist described by the legendary Barton Biggs as "one of the five best, most dispassionate, erudite analysts in the world" As the global economy continues the long climb out of recession, it's imperative that central bankers and other economic decision-makers not repeat the mistakes of the past. The Road to Recovery offers prescriptive guidance on redesigning an economic system that is healthy, stable, and beneficial to all. 606 $aEconomic policy 606 $aFinancial crises$xPrevention 615 0$aEconomic policy. 615 0$aFinancial crises$xPrevention. 676 $a339.5 700 $aSmithers$b Andrew$01639477 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910814765203321 996 $aThe road to recovery$94105063 997 $aUNINA