LEADER 02882nam 2200661Ia 450 001 9910813824003321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4623-7201-5 010 $a1-4527-9051-5 010 $a1-282-54536-1 010 $a1-4519-0876-8 010 $a9786613822123 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443249 035 $a(EBL)3014506 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000943016 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11503268 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000943016 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10975306 035 $a(PQKB)10054750 035 $a(OCoLC)246926514 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006081 035 $a(CaOOCEL)250994 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014506 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443249 100 $a20060615d2006 um 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aPractical model-based monetary policy analysis $ea how-to guide /$fprepared by Andrew Berg, Philippe Karam, and Douglas Laxton 205 $a1st ed. 210 $a[Washington, D.C.] $cInternational Monetary Fund, Policy Development and Review Dept., Research Dept., and IMF Institute$d2006 215 $a1 online resource (69 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/06/81 300 $a"March 2006." 311 $a1-4518-6341-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE MODEL""; ""III. BUILDING THE MODEL""; ""IV. FORECASTING AND POLICY ANALYSIS""; ""V. AN EXAMPLE""; ""VI. CONCLUSIONS""; ""REFERENCES"" 330 3 $aThis paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips) curve, a version of the uncovered interest parity condition, and a monetary policy reaction function. The paper discusses how to parameterize the model and use it for forecasting and policy analysis, illustrating with an application to Canada. It also introduces a set of useful software tools for conducting a model-consistent forecast. 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/06/81. 606 $aEconomic forecasting 606 $aMonetary policy 615 0$aEconomic forecasting. 615 0$aMonetary policy. 700 $aBerg$b Andrew$01601294 701 $aKaram$b Philippe D$01752808 701 $aLaxton$b Douglas$01594457 712 02$aIMF Institute. 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bPolicy Development and Review Dept. 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910813824003321 996 $aPractical model-based monetary policy analysis$94189251 997 $aUNINA