LEADER 05063nam 2200625Ia 450 001 9910812693703321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-280-50522-2 010 $a9786610505227 010 $a1-4237-9738-8 010 $a1-60750-160-0 010 $a600-00-0470-2 010 $a1-60129-139-6 035 $a(CKB)1000000000340191 035 $a(EBL)265978 035 $a(OCoLC)290475339 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000083643 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11126216 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000083643 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10147520 035 $a(PQKB)11201299 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC265978 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL265978 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10130651 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL50522 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000340191 100 $a20060404d2006 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aKondratieff waves, warfare and world security /$fedited by Tessaleno C. Devezas 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aAmsterdam $cIOS Press$d2006 ;$aLancaster $cGazelle Books, distributor$d2006 215 $a1 online resource (352 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-58603-588-6 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aLong Waves and Warfare: An Enduring Controversy -- Contents-- Part 1. Kondratieff Waves Revisited: New Concepts on the Interpretation of Long-Term Fluctuations in Economic Growth-- The Kondratieff's Waves and Cyclic Dynamics of the Economy and Wars: Theory and Prospects-- Toward New Conceptual Models of the Kondratiev Phenomenon-- Recurrent Instabilities in K-Wave Macrohistory-- A Marxian Model of the U.S. Long Waves with Endogenous Growth of Labor Force-- Economic Cycles Under Test: A Spectral Analysis -- Are There Long-Term Cycles in the Evolution of the Oil Price? A Research Using the Hodrick-Prescott Filter Did the Fifth K-Wave Begin in 1990-92? Has It Been Aborted by Globalization?-- The Cyclic Dynamics of the Venture Capital-- If This Long Wave Steeps-Up and Breaks: What Then?-- Empirical Evidence and Causation of Kondratieff Cycles-- Principles of Self-Organization and Sustainable Development of the World Economy: From Local Conflicts to Global Security-- Waves of Socio-Economic Development: An Evolutionary Perspective-- Who Was Right? Kuznets in 1930 or Schumpeter in 1939? -- On Kondratieff's "Suzdal Letters" and Transformation of K-Cycles Approach (1932-1938)--Part 2. Kondratieff Waves and Warfare-- The Predictive Power of Long Wave Theory, 1989-2004-- Did World War II Reset the 'Rhythm' of the Kondratieff Wave?-- Long Waves in Global Warfare and Maritime Hegemony? A Complex Systems Perspective-- Wars on the Borders of Europe and Socio-Economic Long Cycles-- Is History Automatic and Are Wars a la Carte? The Perplexing Suggestions of a System Analysis of Historical Time Series-- Long Cycles, Global Wars and World Energy Consumption-- Emergent Violence, Global Wars, and Terrorism -- Human Behaviors Encountered During the Different Phases of the Kondratieff Cycle -- The Extent of the Kondratieff Wave's Effect on Violence in the North-South Context-- Globalization and Risks of Instability-- Cycles of Political Violence: Urban Guerrilla and Insurgent Groups-- Reverse Engineering Asymmetric Warfare: Applying Space-Time, Matter-Energy and Organizational-Doctrinal Analysis to Al Qaeda Operations-- The Asymmetrical 21st Century Security Reality-- The Emergence of Modern Terrorism-- Part 3. Looking into the Future -- The Russian Potential of Asymmetrical Wars of the 21st Century: Social-Economic Aspect The Information and Molecular Ages: Will K-Waves Persist?-- Warfare and International Security: Future Perspective-- Economic Cycles in a Closed Finite World-- Innovation Economy: Challenges and Threats to Russia-- Global Political Evolution, Long Cycles, and K-Waves-- The Social Progress and Security Problems-- Alternative Futures for K-Waves-- Risk Management in Uncertain Times-- Cyclicity of Strategic Challenges in Russian History and Development Scenario for the 21st Century-- Author Index 330 $aConsiderable progress has been made in understanding the underlying mechanisms driving the long-wave behaviour of the world socioeconomic development. A controversial mechanism discussed is the close relationship between K-waves and the outbreak of majors wars. 606 $aLong waves (Economics)$vCongresses 606 $aMilitary art and science$vCongresses 615 0$aLong waves (Economics) 615 0$aMilitary art and science 676 $a338.54 701 $aDevezas$b Tessaleno C$0785679 712 12$aNATO Advanced Research Workshop on The Influence of Chance Events and Socioeconomic Long Waves in the New Arena of Asymmetric Warfare 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910812693703321 996 $aKondratieff waves, warfare and world security$94048058 997 $aUNINA