LEADER 10343nam 2200577I 450 001 9910812576303321 005 20190919150537.0 010 $a1-78743-462-1 010 $a1-78743-393-5 035 $a(CKB)4100000009265385 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC5894002 035 $a(UtOrBLW)9781787433939 035 $a(EXLCZ)994100000009265385 100 $a20190920h20192019 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurun||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 00$aHow do leaders make decisions? $eevidence from the East and West, part A /$fedited by Alex Mintz and Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky 205 $a1st ed. 210 1$aLondon, England :$cEmerald Publishing,$d[2019] 210 4$dİ2019 215 $a1 online resource (208 pages) 225 1 $aContributions to conflict management, peace economics and development,$x1572-8323 ;$vvolume 28A 311 $a1-78743-394-3 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aFront Cover -- How Do Leaders Make Decisions? Evidence From The East and West, Part A -- Copyright -- Contents -- About the Editors -- List of Contributors -- Foreword -- Acknowledgement -- Introduction: How Do Leaders Make Decisions? An Applied Decision Analysis Account -- The Rational Actor Model -- Bounded Rationality and the Cognitive School -- Elimination-by-Aspects (EBA) Decision Rule -- Lexicographic (LEX) Decision Rule -- Integrating the Rational and Cognitive Models: Poliheuristic Theory -- Applied Decision Analysis -- Summary of Articles -- Notes -- Bibliography -- The Decision Calculus of Donald Trump -- Dimensions -- Analysis: Withdrawal from TPP -- Alternatives Considered -- Analysis -- Analysis: Re-negotiating NAFTA (23/01/2017) -- Alternatives Considered -- Analysis -- Analysis: The Attack on Al Shayrat Airport, Syria (06/04/2017) -- Alternatives Considered -- Analysis -- Analysis: Approach toward NATO (17/05/2017) -- Alternatives Considered -- Analysis -- Analysis: The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process (15/02/2017) -- Alternatives Considered -- Analysis -- Analysis: Relocating the US Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem (01/06/2017) -- Alternatives Considered -- Analysis -- Analysis: The Withdrawal from the Paris Agreement (01/06/2017) -- Alternatives Considered -- Analysis -- Conclusions -- Bibliography -- Barack Obama's Foreign Policy Decision Calculus -- Introduction -- Research Question -- The Importance of this Research -- Obama - Personal Background -- Research Method -- Hypothesis -- Decision Dimensions -- Decision #1: US Policy Regarding Afghanistan in 2009 -- Alternative #1 - Immediate Retreat of the Troops -- Alternative #2 - Focusing on Rebuilding Afghanistan and Retreating in 6 Months -- Alternative #3 - Significantly Increasing the Forces and Eliminating the Taliban Regime. 327 $aAlternative #4 - Increasing the Forces Significantly and Declaring a Date of Retreat -- Analyzing the Decision Code -- After the Decision -- Decision #2: Intervening in The Libyan Civil War -- Alternative #1 - Continuing to Impose Economic Sanctions Only -- Alternative #2 - Limited Military Intervention as Part of an International Coalition -- Alternative #3 - Independent Limited Military Intervention -- Alternative #4 - Initiating an Extensive Military Operation against Libya -- Analyzing the Decision Code -- Decision Outcomes -- Decision #3 - The Civil War in Syria -- Alternative #1 - Humanitarian Military Intervention -- Alternative #2 - Providing Logistical Support to the Rebels -- Alternative #3 - Setting a "red line" on the Use of Chemical Weapons -- Alternative #4 - Diplomatic Condemnation -- Analyzing the Decision Code -- After the Decision -- Decision #4 - Response to Syria Crossing the "red line" -- Alternative #1 - Coercive Diplomacy -- Alternative #2 - Immediate Airstrike and Diplomatic Action -- Alternative #3 - Defeating Assad's Army -- Analyzing the Decision Code -- After the Decision -- Decision #5 - Signing the Joint Plan of Action with Iran -- Alternative #1 - Continuing to Put Economic Pressure and Setting an Ultimatum -- Alternative #2 - A Comprehensive Agreement in Exchange for Lifting the Sanctions -- Alternative #3 - A Nuclear Deal Only in Exchange for Easing Western Sanctions -- Analyzing the Decision Code -- After the Decision -- Decision #6 - The Response to the Annexation of Crimea by Russia -- Alternative #1 - Diplomatic Condemnation -- Alternative #2 - Symbolic Response -- Alternative #3 - Escalation of the Conflict with Russia -- Analyzing the Decision Code -- After the Decision -- Conclusion -- Recommendations for Further Research -- Bibliography -- The Decision Calculus of Benjamin Netanyahu -- Introduction. 327 $aForeign and Security Policy during Netanyahu's Leadership of Israel -- Benjamin Netanyahu's Personality and its Impact on Foreign Policy -- Research Design -- Analysis of Netanyahu's Decisions Calculus -- April 1996 - Public Acceptance of the Oslo Accords -- October 1998 - Signing the Wye River Memorandum -- June 2009 - Bar-Ilan speech, An Agreement in Principle for the Establishment of a Palestinian State -- November 2009 - Decision to Freeze Construction in Judea and Samaria for Ten Months -- September 2010 - Non-renewal of the Construction Freeze in Judea and Samaria -- July 2013 - Resumption of Negotiations with the Palestinians -- April 2014 - The Suspension of Peace Negotiations with the Palestinians -- 2006 until Today (2015) - Lack of Responsiveness to the Saudi Initiative -- Conclusions -- Bibliography -- The Decision Calculus of Winston Churchill -- Research Question -- Hypothesis -- Churchill -- Case studies -- Winston Churchill's Decision Dimensions -- Ideological Dimension. British Survival (Weight: 10) -- Political Survival Dimension (Weight: 10) -- National Security Dimension (Weight: 10) -- War Economy Dimension (Weight: 7) -- International Dimension (Weight: 9) -- Morality Dimension (Weight: 5) -- Winston Churchill's Decision Analysis -- Decision #1: Continuing to Fight Germany in May 1940 - Background -- Explanation of Alternatives -- Negotiating with Italy -- Assembling of Full 25 Ministers' Cabinet -- Convince the War Cabinet to Go to War -- Analyzing the Decision Rule -- Decision #2: Delaying the Opening of a Western Front in Normandy - Background -- Explanation of Alternatives -- Opening the Western Front Earlier (1942/1943) -- Opening a Western Front in 1944 -- Not Opening a Western Front At All -- Analyzing the Decision Rule -- Decision #3: Bombing the French Fleet in July 1940 - Background -- Explanation of Alternatives. 327 $aLeave the Fleet in French Control -- Renew the Attempts at Negotiation with France -- Open Fire on the French Fleet -- Analyzing the Decision Rule -- Decision #4: Not preventing Operation "Moonlight Sonata" - A Series of Bombing Raids on the English City of Coventry - Back... -- Explanation of Alternatives -- Bolster the Air Raid Defense over Coventry and Evacuate the City -- Secretly Evacuating the Children, Elderly, and Hospitalized Residents from the City, and Hoping that no German Officer Woul... -- Allow the German Attack on Coventry -- Analyzing the Decision Rule -- Results, Conclusions, and Further Recommendations -- Bibliography -- Leaders' Decision Calculi on Nuclear Armament and Disarmament -- Introduction -- Importance of the Research -- Research Questions -- Literature Review -- South Africa - Nuclear Project: Background -- Libya - Nuclear Project: Background -- Research Hypotheses -- Research Method -- Case Study - South Africa -- Decision Matrix - Nuclear Armament - Pieter Willem botha -- Matrix Analysis: Dimensions and Weights -- Matrix Analysis: Alternatives -- Alternative A: Beginning a Clandestine Nuclear Project -- Alternative B: Beginning a Declared Nuclear Project -- Alternative C: Do Nothing -- Findings -- Decision Matrix - Nuclear Disarmament - F. W. de Klerk -- Matrix Analysis: Dimensions and Weights -- Matrix Analysis: Alternatives -- Alternative A: Nuclear Disarmament -- Alternative B: Continue Nuclear Armament -- Alternative C: Halting Nuclear Armament -- Findings -- Case Study - Libya -- Decision Matrix - Nuclear Armament - Colonel Muammar Gaddafi -- Matrix Analysis: Dimensions and Weights -- Matrix Analysis: Alternatives -- Alternative A: Nuclear Armament -- Alternative B: No Move toward Nuclear Armament -- Findings -- Decision Matrix - Nuclear Disarmament - Colonel Muammar Gaddafi. 327 $aMatrix Analysis: Dimensions and Weights -- Matrix Analysis: Alternatives -- Alternative A: Nuclear Disarmament -- Alternative B: Continue Nuclear Armament -- Alternative C: Halting Nuclear Armament -- Findings -- Conclusions -- Further Research -- Notes -- Bibliography -- The Influence of Military Background on Israeli Leaders' National Security Decision-making -- Introduction -- Literature Review -- Research Hypotheses -- Research Design -- Database Build -- Dependent Variable -- Independent Variables -- Internal Pressure Variables -- Security Variables -- International Pressure Variables -- Military Experience Variable -- Research Results -- Conclusions -- Bibliography -- Appendix 1. Statistical Analysis -- Appendix A2. Details of Events and Database Decision Identification -- Index. 330 $aUnderstanding how leaders make foreign policy and national security decisions is of paramount importance for the policy community and academia. This book explores how leaders such as Trump, Obama, Netanyahu and others make decisions using the Applied Decision Analysis (ADA) method. 410 0$aContributions to conflict management, peace economics and development ;$vv. 28A.$x1572-8323 606 $aDecision making 606 $aLeadership 606 $aBusiness & Economics$xDecision-Making & Problem Solving$2bisacsh 606 $aManagement: leadership & motivation$2bicssc 615 0$aDecision making. 615 0$aLeadership. 615 7$aBusiness & Economics$xDecision-Making & Problem Solving. 615 7$aManagement: leadership & motivation. 676 $a658.4092 702 $aMintz$b Alex 702 $aAdamsky$b Dmitry (Dima) 801 0$bUtOrBLW 801 1$bUtOrBLW 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910812576303321 996 $aHow do leaders make decisions$94013621 997 $aUNINA