LEADER 03265nam 2200589Ia 450 001 9910812017203321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4623-3961-1 010 $a1-4518-7382-4 010 $a1-282-84436-9 010 $a9786612844362 010 $a1-4527-2987-5 035 $a(CKB)3170000000055367 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000941855 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11543934 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000941855 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10971974 035 $a(PQKB)10925793 035 $a(OCoLC)609993476 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1608848 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2009235 035 $a(EXLCZ)993170000000055367 100 $a20100308d2009 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aIs the Canadian housing market overvalued? $ea post-crisis assessment /$fprepared by Evridiki Tsounta 205 $a1st ed. 210 $a[Washington, D.C.] $cInternational Monetary Fund, Western Hemisphere Dept.$d2009 215 $a20 p. $cill 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/09/235 300 $a"October 2009." 311 $a1-4519-1800-3 327 $aIntro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Recent Housing Market Developments -- A. The Run-up in House Prices and Construction -- B. Reversal in House Prices -- III. Macrofinancial Linkages from the Housing Market -- IV. Existing Literature -- V. Econometric Model and Results -- VI. Conclusions -- References -- Figures -- 1. Canada. Cummulative Increase in Resale House Prices -- 2. G-7. Price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios, 1970-2009 -- 3. Select Eastern Canadian Provinces: House Price Over/Undervaluation, 1993Q1-2009Q2 -- 4. Select Western Canadian Provinces: House Price Over/Udnervaluation, 1993Q1-2009Q2 -- Tables -- 1. Real Prices of New Houses and Land, 1995-2009Q2 -- 2. Determinants of House Prices in Select Canadian Provinces. 330 3 $aCanadian house prices have increased significantly between 2003 and early 2008, with a marked downward trend since mid-2008, especially in the resource-rich western provinces. This paper estimates the evolution of equilibrium real home prices during this period in key provinces and finds that, following recent declines, home prices are now generally close to equilibrium throughout Canada. However, house prices in Alberta and British Columbia remain around 8 percent overvalued at the end of the sample (second quarter of 2009). Despite the limitations of econometric estimates of house-price dynamics, the measured small degree of overvaluation suggests that the Canadian housing market is essentially at equilibrium. 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/09/235. 606 $aHousing$zCanada$xEconometric models 606 $aHousing$xPrices$zCanada$xEconometric models 615 0$aHousing$xEconometric models. 615 0$aHousing$xPrices$xEconometric models. 676 $a301.5;301.540971 700 $aTsounta$b Evridiki$01600317 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bWestern Hemisphere Dept. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910812017203321 996 $aIs the Canadian housing market overvalued$94199328 997 $aUNINA