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101 0 $aeng
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181   $ctxt$2rdacontent
182   $cc$2rdamedia
183   $acr$2rdacarrier
200 10$aUnderstanding probability /$fHenk Tijms$b[electronic resource]
205   $aThird edition.
210  1$aCambridge :$cCambridge University Press,$d2012.
215   $a1 online resource (x, 562 pages) $cdigital, PDF file(s)
300   $aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).
311   $a1-107-38707-8 
311   $a1-107-65856-X 
320   $aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
327   $aMachine generated contents note: Preface; Introduction; Part I. Probability in Action: 1. Probability questions; 2. The law of large numbers and simulation; 3. Probabilities in everyday life; 4. Rare events and lotteries; 5. Probability and statistics; 6. Chance trees and Bayes' rule; Part II. Essentials of Probability: 7. Foundations of probability theory; 8. Conditional probability and Bayes; 9. Basic rules for discrete random variables; 10. Continuous random variables; 11. Jointly distributed random variables; 12. Multivariate normal distribution; 13. Conditioning by random variables; 14. Generating functions; 15. Discrete-time Markov chains; 16. Continuous-time Markov chains; Appendix; Counting methods and ex; Recommended reading; Answers to odd-numbered problems; Bibliography; Index.
330   $aUnderstanding Probability is a unique and stimulating approach to a first course in probability. The first part of the book demystifies probability and uses many wonderful probability applications from everyday life to help the reader develop a feel for probabilities. The second part, covering a wide range of topics, teaches clearly and simply the basics of probability. This fully revised third edition has been packed with even more exercises and examples and it includes new sections on Bayesian inference, Markov chain Monte-Carlo simulation, hitting probabilities in random walks and Brownian motion, and a new chapter on continuous-time Markov chains with applications. Here you will find all the material taught in an introductory probability course. The first part of the book, with its easy-going style, can be read by anybody with a reasonable background in high school mathematics. The second part of the book requires a basic course in calculus.
606   $aProbabilities
606   $aMathematical analysis
606   $aChance
615  0$aProbabilities.
615  0$aMathematical analysis.
615  0$aChance.
676   $a519.2
686   $aMAT029000$2bisacsh
700   $aTijms$b H. C.$056125
801  0$bUkCbUP
801  1$bUkCbUP
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910811444103321
996   $aUnderstanding probability$91217051
997   $aUNINA