LEADER 03271nam 2200625 a 450 001 9910808872803321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4623-4561-1 010 $a1-4527-9946-6 010 $a1-283-56128-X 010 $a9786613873736 010 $a1-4519-2028-8 035 $a(CKB)3360000000445091 035 $a(EBL)3012511 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001478958 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11781068 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001478958 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11471926 035 $a(PQKB)11741419 035 $a(OCoLC)535146898 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2352004 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3012511 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000445091 100 $a20090807d2004 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aManaging confidence in emerging market bank runs /$fprepared by Se-Jik Kim and Ashoka Mody 205 $a1st ed. 210 $a[Washington, D.C.] $cInternational Monetary Fund, European Dept., and Research Dept.$d2004 215 $a1 online resource (29 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/04/235 300 $a"December 2004." 311 $a1-4518-7568-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 27-28). 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE BASIC MODEL""; ""III. SIMULTANEOUS VERSUS SEQUENTIAL LIQUIDITY SHORTAGES""; ""IV. EARLY VERSUS LATE BAILOUTS""; ""V. POLITICAL ECONOMY""; ""VI. EXTENSIONS""; ""VII. CONCLUSIONS""; ""References"" 330 3 $aIn a rational-expectations framework, we model depositors' confidence as a function of the probability of future bank bailouts. We analyze the effect of alternative bank bailout policies on depositors' confidence in an emerging market setting, where liquidity shortages of banks are revealed sequentially and governments cannot credibly commit to bailing out all potentially distressed banks. Our findings suggest that allowing early bank failures and using available liquidity for credible commitments to later bailouts can better boost confidence than early bailouts. This conclusion arises because with a high chance of liquidity shortage in the future, depositors may lose confidence and hence withdraw deposits even from potentially sound banks. Such a policy of late bailouts is likely to receive political support when a full bailout needs to be financed by taxation. The logic of late bailout remains valid even when banks may hide their distress or when closures of early distressed banks create contagion. 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/04/235. 606 $aBank failures$zDeveloping countries$xEconometric models 606 $aLiquidity (Economics)$zDeveloping countries$xEconometric models 615 0$aBank failures$xEconometric models. 615 0$aLiquidity (Economics)$xEconometric models. 700 $aKim$b Se-Jik$f1960-$01623190 701 $aMody$b Ashoka$0888386 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bEuropean Dept. 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910808872803321 996 $aManaging Confidence in Emerging Market Bank Runs$93986698 997 $aUNINA