LEADER 05047nam 2200721 450 001 9910807965303321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-118-63789-5 010 $a1-118-63791-7 010 $a1-118-63788-7 035 $a(CKB)2550000001175574 035 $a(EBL)1584080 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001081735 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11631882 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001081735 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11078996 035 $a(PQKB)11331067 035 $a(OCoLC)874147151 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1584080 035 $a(DLC) 2013045052 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1584080 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10826697 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL556860 035 $a(OCoLC)866839242 035 $a(PPN)18497092X 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000001175574 100 $a20140128h20142014 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aEarthquakes $emodels, statistics, testable forecasts /$fYan Y. Kagan 205 $aFirst edition. 210 1$aHoboken, New Jersey :$cJohn Wiley & Sons, Ltd,$d2014. 210 4$dİ2014 215 $a1 online resource (307 p.) 225 0 $aStatistical Physics of Fracture and Breakdown 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-118-63792-5 311 $a1-306-25609-7 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aCover; Title Page; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; List of Abbreviations; List of Mathematical Symbols; Part I Models; Chapter 1 Motivation: Earthquake science challenges; Chapter 2 Seismological background; 2.1 Earthquakes; 2.2 Earthquake catalogs; 2.3 Description of modern earthquake catalogs; 2.4 Earthquake temporal occurrence: quasi-periodic, Poisson, or clustered?; 2.5 Earthquake faults: one fault, several faults, or an infinite number of faults?; 2.6 Statistical and physical models of seismicity; 2.7 Laboratory and theoretical studies of fracture 327 $aChapter 3 Stochastic processes and earthquake occurrence models3.1 Earthquake clustering and branching processes; 3.2 Several problems and challenges; 3.3 Critical continuum-state branching model of earthquake rupture; 3.3.1 Time-magnitude simulation; 3.3.2 Space-focal mechanism simulation; Part II Statistics; Chapter 4 Statistical distributions of earthquake numbers: Consequence of branching process; 4.1 Theoretical considerations; 4.1.1 Generating function for the negative binomial distribution (NBD); 4.1.2 NBD distribution expressions; 4.1.3 Statistical parameter estimation 327 $a6.2 Seismic moment release in earthquakes and aftershocks6.2.1 Temporal distribution of aftershocks; 6.2.2 Southern California earthquakes and their aftershocks; 6.2.3 Global shallow earthquakes; 6.2.4 Comparison of source-time functions and aftershock moment release; 6.3 Random shear stress and Omori's law; 6.4 Aftershock temporal distribution, theoretical analysis; 6.4.1 Le?vy distribution; 6.4.2 Inverse Gaussian distribution (IGD); 6.5 Temporal distribution of aftershocks: Observations; 6.5.1 Aftershock sequences; 6.5.2 Temporal distribution for earthquake pairs 327 $a6.6 Example: The New Madrid earthquake sequence of 1811-12 330 $a"The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"--$cProvided by publisher. 330 $a"Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"--$cProvided by publisher. 410 0$aStatistical Physics of Fracture and Breakdown 606 $aEarthquake prediction 606 $aEarthquake hazard analysis 615 0$aEarthquake prediction. 615 0$aEarthquake hazard analysis. 676 $a551.2201/12 686 $aSCI032000$2bisacsh 700 $aKagan$b Yan K$01667724 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910807965303321 996 $aEarthquakes$94027762 997 $aUNINA