LEADER 06077nam 2200769 450 001 9910797535203321 005 20230807193032.0 010 $a1-4648-0478-8 024 7 $a10.1596/978-1-4648-0477-9 035 $a(CKB)3710000000471321 035 $a(EBL)4397354 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001570018 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)16219932 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001570018 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)14830348 035 $a(PQKB)11131414 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4397354 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4397354 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr11155685 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL828775 035 $a(OCoLC)920466776 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000471321 100 $a20151104h20152015 uf| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aConfronting climate uncertainty in water resources planning and project design $ethe decision tree framework /$fPatrick A. Ray, Casey M. Brown 210 1$aWashington, DC :$cWorld Bank Group,$d[2015] 210 4$d©2015 215 $a1 online resource (149 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-4648-0477-X 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Contents; Foreword; Acknowledgments; About the Authors; Executive Summary; Abbreviations; 1. Introduction; Note; References; 2. Basis for the Decision Tree Framework; Risk Enumeration; Alternative Approaches to Scenario Definition; Background on Decision Scaling; Notes; References; 3. The Decision Tree Framework; Introduction; Phase 1: Project Screening; Phase 2: Initial Analysis; Phase 3: Climate Stress Test; Phase 4: Climate Risk Management; Notes; References; 4. Example Application: Run-of-the-River Hydropower; Introduction; Phase 1: Project Screening; Phase 2: Initial Analysis 327 $aPhase 3: Climate Stress TestPhase 4: Climate Risk Management; Discussion and Recommendations; Notes; References; 5. Further Guidance for Decision Making under Uncertainty; Introduction; Background; Key Concepts in Decision Making under Uncertainty; Risk Assessment Tools; Risk Management Tools; Summary of Decision Making under Uncertainty; Notes; References; 6. Concluding Remarks; Note; Appendix A: Hydrologic Models; Introduction; Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) Macroscale Hydrologic Model; Sacramento (originally named the Stanford Watershed Model); TOPMODEL 327 $aWater Evaluation and Planning/Water Balance (WEAP/WATBAL)Abcd Model; Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS); Community Land Model (CLM); Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT); Notes; References; Appendix B: Worksheets and Report Templates; Phase 1: The Climate Screening Worksheet; Phase 2: Guidance for the Climate Risk Statement; Phase 3: Guidance for the Climate Risk Report; Phase 4: Guidance for the Climate Risk Management Plan; Reference; Boxes; 2.1 Ex Ante versus Ex Post Scenario Development; 2.2 Bottom-Up, Climate-Informed Decision Making; 3.1 Discount Rates 327 $a3.2 General Procedure for a Climate Stress Test5.1 Deep and Severe Uncertainty; 5.2 Robustness and Adaptability or Flexibility; Figures; ES.1 Illustration of the Decision Tree Framework; 2.1 Schematic Comparison of Decision Scaling with Traditional Approach to Climate Change Risk Assessment Table; 3.1 General Steps in the Decision Tree for Water Resources Projects; 3.2 Decision Tree Schematic; 3.3 Phase 1 Entry and Exit Conditions; 3.4 Project Scoping Workflow for Phase 2; 3.5 Example of Elasticities of Basin Performance Metrics 327 $a3.6 Example of Changes in Precipitation, Temperature, and Runoff According to General Circulation Model Projections3.7 Example of Changes to Selected Performance Indicators Associated with General Circulation Model Projections; 3.8 Phase 2 Entry and Exit Conditions; 3.9 Example of a Climate Response Map for a Proposed Run-of-the-River Hydropower Project; 3.10 Downscaled General Circulation Model Count for Climate Response Map Shown in Figure 3.9; 3.11 Phase 3 Entry and Exit Conditions; 3.12 Phase 4 Entry and Exit Conditions 327 $a4.1 Downscaled Climate Change Projections for Region of Proposed Hydropower Project 330 $aThe Decision Tree Framework is a decision support tool that aims to help project managers and development practitioners to pragmatically assess potential climate risks. This document, developed by the Water Global Practice with the support of our Water Partnership Program (WPP), helps practitioners navigate the maze of existing climate assessment methods and models. The tool first screens for climate vulnerabilities, and a "decision tree" subsequently helps project teams assess and then develop plans to manage climate and other risks. It uses a step-by-step design--similar to a tree on which each "branch" builds off the previous one. [Foreword]--$cSource other than the Library of Congress. 606 $aWater resources development$xEnvironmental aspects 606 $aWater resources development$xPlanning 606 $aWater resources development$xDecision making 606 $aWater-supply$xEnvironmental aspects 606 $aWater-supply$xManagement$xDecision making 606 $aWater-supply$xPlanning 606 $aClimatic changes 615 0$aWater resources development$xEnvironmental aspects. 615 0$aWater resources development$xPlanning. 615 0$aWater resources development$xDecision making. 615 0$aWater-supply$xEnvironmental aspects. 615 0$aWater-supply$xManagement$xDecision making. 615 0$aWater-supply$xPlanning. 615 0$aClimatic changes. 676 $a628.1 700 $aRay$b Patrick A.$01480354 702 $aBrown$b Casey$c(Water-supply engineer), 712 02$aEbscoHost (Servicio en línea) 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910797535203321 996 $aConfronting climate uncertainty in water resources planning and project design$93696959 997 $aUNINA