LEADER 05442nam 2200709Ia 450 001 9910792081203321 005 20230802012909.0 010 $a1-283-59377-7 010 $a9786613906229 010 $a981-4405-46-9 035 $a(CKB)2560000000093377 035 $a(EBL)1019638 035 $a(OCoLC)811504399 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000682407 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11471539 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000682407 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10677705 035 $a(PQKB)11712003 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1019638 035 $a(WSP)00002766 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1019638 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10596915 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL390622 035 $a(EXLCZ)992560000000093377 100 $a20120419d2012 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aCalendar anomalies and arbitrage$b[electronic resource] /$fby William T. Ziemba 210 $aNew Jersey $cWorld Scientific$d2012 215 $a1 online resource (607 p.) 225 0 $aWorld Scientific series in finance,$x2010-1082 ;$vv. 2 300 $aIncludes index. 311 $a981-4405-45-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aContents; Preface; List of Co-authors; Acknowledgements; 1. Introduction - Calendar Anomalies C. S. Dzhabarov and W. T. Ziemba; 1.1 Introduction to Seasonal Anomaly Effects; 1.2 January Effect; 1.2.1 Trading the January small cap effect in the futures markets; 1.3 The January Barometer; 1.3.1 How to trade the January Barometer (JanB); 1.3.2 The international January Barometer; 1.4 Sell-in-May-and-go-away; 1.4.1 Same month next year; 1.5 Holiday Effects; 1.5.1 The sell on Rosh Hashanah and buy on Yom Kippur anomaly; 1.5.2 Ramadan; 1.6 Day of the Week Effects 327 $a1.7 Option Expiry Effects in the Russell 2000 and S&P 500 Futures Markets 1.8 Seasonality Calendars; 1.9 Political Effects 3; 1.9.1 When Congress is in session; 1.9.2 Election cycles; US bond returns after presidential elections; Some simple presidential investment strategies; Remarks; 1.9.3 Election cycles: Other literature; 1.10 Turn-of-the-month Effects; 1.11 Open/Close Daily Trade on the Open; 1.12 Industry Concentration; 1.12.1 Weather: Sun, rain, snow, moon and the stars and clouds; 1.13 Conclusions and Final Remarks; References 327 $a2. Playing the Turn-of-the-Year Effect With Index Futures R. Clark and W. T. Ziemba 1. The Evidence; 2. Analysis of the Evidence; Probable Causes; Excess Returns; Excess Profits; 3. Strategies; 5. The 1986/87 Play; 6. Conclusions; Acknowledgment; References; 3. Arbitrage Strategies for Cross-Track Betting on Major Horse Races D. B. Hausch and W. T. Ziemba; I. Introduction; II. Efficiency of the Various Betting Markets; III. Inefficiency of the Win Market and the Risk-free Hedging Model; IV. The Optimal Capital Growth Model; V. Testing the One-Track Capital Growth Model; VI. Final Discussion 327 $aReferences 4. Locks at the Racetrack D. B. Hausch and W. T. Ziemba; Our lock concentrates on the show market; The show payoff on Arbor Hoggart is thought to be the highest show payoff of any sort; 5. Arbitrage and Risk Arbitrage in Team Jai Alai D. Lane and W. T. Ziemba; Acknowledgments; 1. INTRODUCTION; 2. THE ARBITRAGE; 3. RISK ARBITRAGES; 4. FINAL REMARKS; References; 6. Miscellaneous Inserts; a. The Buying and Selling Behavior of Individual Investors at the Turn of the Year: Discussion; REFERENCES 327 $ab. Russell Report - The January Barometer: European, North American, Pacific and Worldwide Results 1 Introduction; 2 The US Evidence; 3 Worldwide Evidence; 4 Final Remarks; 5 References; 6 Appendix; c. Occupational Nostalgia; d. U.S. Bears Bets May Roil Japan's Turmoil/ Bearish Betters in U.S. May Be Partly Behind Upheavals in Tokyo; e. Nikkei Put Options Good Buy for Foreign Funds Managers; f. Buying Stock? Consider Turn-of-the-Month Effect; h. Turn, Turn, Turn: To Every Stock Price There Is a Reason for the Month-to-Month Price Jump; g. Making Dollar-Cost Averaging Even More Profitable 327 $ai. Russell Report - Investment Results From Exploiting Turn-of the- Month Effects 330 $aThis book discusses calendar or seasonal anomalies in worldwide equity markets as well as arbitrage and risk arbitrage. A complete update of US anomalies such as the January turn-of-the year, turn-of-the-month, January barometer, sell in May and go away, holidays, days of the week, options expiry and other effects is given concentrating on the futures markets where these anomalies can be easily applied. Other effects that lend themselves to modified buy and hold cash strategies include the presidential election and factor models based on fundamental anomalies. The ideas have been used successful 410 0$aWORLD SCIENTIFIC SERIES IN FINANCE 606 $aStocks$xPrices 606 $aStock price forecasting 606 $aArbitrage 606 $aSeasonal variations (Economics) 615 0$aStocks$xPrices. 615 0$aStock price forecasting. 615 0$aArbitrage. 615 0$aSeasonal variations (Economics) 676 $a332.64/5 700 $aZiemba$b W. 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