LEADER 03410nam 2200577 a 450 001 9910789423003321 005 20221108020312.0 010 $a1-283-13233-8 010 $a9786613132338 010 $a0-7391-6488-0 035 $a(CKB)2670000000094893 035 $a(StDuBDS)AH23062613 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000523188 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12187377 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000523188 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10539539 035 $a(PQKB)10188432 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC713314 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL713314 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10477299 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL313233 035 $a(OCoLC)733806087 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000094893 100 $a20110225d2011 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur||||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aHistory of the future$b[electronic resource] $ethe shape of the world to come is visible today /$fMax Singer 210 $aLanham, Md. $cLexington Books$dc2011 215 $a1 online resource (198 p.) 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a0-7391-6487-2 311 $a0-7391-6486-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $apt. 1. The known -- pt. 2. The not-yet known. 330 8 $aThe world is in a unique transition from all of past history to modern life which, when the transition is completed, will be wealthy, free, and peaceful. History of the Future shows that while modernity has significant advantages it will present great challenges and could leave people worse off than they were in the past.$bHistory of the Future presents a set of ideas about where we are in history. It focuses on the great majority of people in each society, and shows that life in the modern world will be almost completely different from all previous human experience. The present time is best understood as a period of transition during which one country after another is following along parallel paths from traditional to modern. The process of becoming modern is so powerful that it will have similar effects on all countries. Therefore one can predict the future of countries still undergoing this change by looking at the history of countries which have already completed their transition.Singer asserts that a "war system" has long existed in which the central concern of nations has been to protect their security by military forces and alliances. He makes the dramatic claim that, because of the inherent nature of modern countries, there will be no war system in any region populated solely by modern countries-as illustrated by the current situation in Western Europe-even though human character will not have improved. However, despite the fact that poverty, tyranny, and war will be largely eliminated, the modern world may be worse for people than the traditional world because most of the things that shaped human character will be obsolete. 606 $aInternational relations$xForecasting 606 $aWorld politics$y21st century 615 0$aInternational relations$xForecasting. 615 0$aWorld politics 676 $a303.49 700 $aSinger$b Max$f1931-$01539042 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910789423003321 996 $aHistory of the future$93789643 997 $aUNINA