LEADER 04430oam 22012014 450 001 9910788690503321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4623-2601-3 010 $a1-4552-3361-7 010 $a1-283-53848-2 010 $a9786613850935 010 $a1-4552-1056-0 035 $a(CKB)3360000000444337 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001477359 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11928320 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001477359 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11453816 035 $a(PQKB)11254053 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014578 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3014578 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10386129 035 $a(OCoLC)805516560 035 $a(IMF)IRBEE2010001 035 $a(IMF)IRBEA2010001 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000444337 100 $a20020129d2010 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aIMF Research Bulletin, March 2010 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2010. 215 $a12 p. $cill., ports 225 1 $aIMF Research Bulletin 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a1-4552-9162-5 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 330 3 $aThis paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to reflect incoming news. Nor do they fully take into account interdependence among economies. This paper also focuses on robust growth determinants highlighting that a fundamental problem confronting researchers is the lack of an explicit theory identifying the determinants of growth. 410 0$aIMF Research Bulletin; IMF Research Bulletin ;$vNo. 2010/001 606 $aInternational finance 606 $aEconomic development$xResearch 606 $aFinancial Risk Management$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aInfrastructure$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aReal Estate$2imf 606 $aHousing Supply and Markets$2imf 606 $aEconomic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis$2imf 606 $aHousing$2imf 606 $aFinancial Crises$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aForeign Exchange$2imf 606 $aInternational Lending and Debt Problems$2imf 606 $aProperty & real estate$2imf 606 $aEconomic & financial crises & disasters$2imf 606 $aInternational economics$2imf 606 $aFinance$2imf 606 $aEconometrics & economic statistics$2imf 606 $aHousing prices$2imf 606 $aFinancial crises$2imf 606 $aGlobal financial crisis of 2008-2009$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 606 $aNational accounts$2imf 606 $aSaving and investment$2imf 606 $aDebts, External$2imf 606 $aGlobal Financial Crisis, 2008-2009$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aInternational finance. 615 0$aEconomic development$xResearch. 615 7$aFinancial Risk Management 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aInfrastructure 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aReal Estate 615 7$aHousing Supply and Markets 615 7$aEconomic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis 615 7$aHousing 615 7$aFinancial Crises 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aForeign Exchange 615 7$aInternational Lending and Debt Problems 615 7$aProperty & real estate 615 7$aEconomic & financial crises & disasters 615 7$aInternational economics 615 7$aFinance 615 7$aEconometrics & economic statistics 615 7$aHousing prices 615 7$aFinancial crises 615 7$aGlobal financial crisis of 2008-2009 615 7$aPrices 615 7$aNational accounts 615 7$aSaving and investment 615 7$aDebts, External 615 7$aGlobal Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910788690503321 996 $aIMF Research Bulletin, March 2010$93823238 997 $aUNINA