LEADER 03833oam 22009614 450 001 9910788524903321 005 20230829002201.0 010 $a1-4623-0136-3 010 $a1-4527-5820-4 010 $a1-282-44831-5 010 $a9786613821508 010 $a1-4519-0973-X 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443188 035 $a(EBL)3014417 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000943011 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11492230 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000943011 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10974941 035 $a(PQKB)10265061 035 $a(OCoLC)698585716 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014417 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006260 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443188 100 $a20020129d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aPolitical Price Cycles in Regulated Industries : $eTheory and Evidence /$fClaudio Paiva, Rodrigo Moita 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2006. 215 $a1 online resource (24 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"November 2006." 311 $a1-4518-6520-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. BACKGROUND""; ""III. A MODEL OF A POLITICAL PRICE CYCLES IN A REGULATED INDUSTRY""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE""; ""V. CONCLUDING REMARKS""; ""Appendix 1. List of Countries Included in the Empirical Work""; ""REFERENCES"" 330 3 $aThis paper develops a model of political regulation in which politicians set the regulated price in order to maximize electoral support by signaling to voters a pro-consumer behavior. Political incentives and welfare constraints interact in the model, yielding an equilibrium in which the real price in a regulated industry may fall in periods immediately preceding an election. The paper also provides empirical support for the theoretical model. Using quarterly data from 32 industrial and developing countries over 1978-2004, we find strong statistical and econometric evidence pointing toward the existence of electoral price cycles in gasoline markets. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2006/260 606 $aPrices$xGovernment policy 606 $aPrice regulation 606 $aInvestments: Energy$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aEnergy: Demand and Supply$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 606 $aPrices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aEnergy: General$2imf 606 $aEconomic growth$2imf 606 $aInvestment & securities$2imf 606 $aFuel prices$2imf 606 $aOil prices$2imf 606 $aBusiness cycles$2imf 606 $aGasoline$2imf 606 $aGas industry$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aPrices$xGovernment policy. 615 0$aPrice regulation. 615 7$aInvestments: Energy 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aEnergy: Demand and Supply 615 7$aPrices 615 7$aPrices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aEnergy: General 615 7$aEconomic growth 615 7$aInvestment & securities 615 7$aFuel prices 615 7$aOil prices 615 7$aBusiness cycles 615 7$aGasoline 615 7$aGas industry 700 $aPaiva$b Claudio$01462128 701 $aMoita$b Rodrigo$01462129 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910788524903321 996 $aPolitical Price Cycles in Regulated Industries$93670970 997 $aUNINA