LEADER 04651oam 22011774 450 001 9910788517803321 005 20230829002219.0 010 $a1-4623-6394-6 010 $a1-4527-8849-9 010 $a1-282-55819-6 010 $a1-4519-0859-8 010 $a9786613822338 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443268 035 $a(EBL)3014543 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000941198 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11547878 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000941198 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10963997 035 $a(PQKB)10358434 035 $a(OCoLC)694141248 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014543 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006063 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443268 100 $a20020129d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aGovernment Debt and Long-Term Interest Rates /$fNoriaki Kinoshita 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2006. 215 $a1 online resource (25 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"March 2006." 311 $a1-4518-6323-3 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. AN OVERVIEW OF THE LITERATURE""; ""III. THEORETICAL ANALYSIS""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE""; ""V. CONCLUSION""; ""References""; ""DERIVATION OF DYNAMIC EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS""; ""DATA SOURCES AND DEFINITIONS"" 330 3 $aThis paper examines the relationship between government debt and long-term interest rates. A dynamic general equilibrium model that incorporates debt nonneutrality is specified and solved, and numerical simulations using the model are undertaken. In addition, empirical evidence using panel data for 19 industrial countries is examined. The estimation provides some evidence supporting the theoretical predictions: the paper finds that the simulated and estimated interest rate effects of government debt tend to be small. However, an increase in government consumption and debt leads to a considerably larger effect. The paper also argues that, although the interest rate effects of pure crowding out may be limited, the economic impact of accumulating government debt cannot be ignored. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2006/063 606 $aDebts, Public$xEconometric models 606 $aInterest rates$xEconometric models 606 $aBanks and Banking$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aPublic Finance$2imf 606 $aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects$2imf 606 $aFiscal Policy$2imf 606 $aDebt$2imf 606 $aDebt Management$2imf 606 $aSovereign Debt$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics: Consumption$2imf 606 $aSaving$2imf 606 $aWealth$2imf 606 $aPublic finance & taxation$2imf 606 $aFinance$2imf 606 $aPublic debt$2imf 606 $aReal interest rates$2imf 606 $aLong term interest rates$2imf 606 $aGovernment consumption$2imf 606 $aGovernment debt management$2imf 606 $aFinancial services$2imf 606 $aNational accounts$2imf 606 $aPublic financial management (PFM)$2imf 606 $aDebts, Public$2imf 606 $aInterest rates$2imf 606 $aConsumption$2imf 606 $aEconomics$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aDebts, Public$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInterest rates$xEconometric models. 615 7$aBanks and Banking 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aPublic Finance 615 7$aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 615 7$aFiscal Policy 615 7$aDebt 615 7$aDebt Management 615 7$aSovereign Debt 615 7$aMacroeconomics: Consumption 615 7$aSaving 615 7$aWealth 615 7$aPublic finance & taxation 615 7$aFinance 615 7$aPublic debt 615 7$aReal interest rates 615 7$aLong term interest rates 615 7$aGovernment consumption 615 7$aGovernment debt management 615 7$aFinancial services 615 7$aNational accounts 615 7$aPublic financial management (PFM) 615 7$aDebts, Public 615 7$aInterest rates 615 7$aConsumption 615 7$aEconomics 700 $aKinoshita$b Noriaki$01509568 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bFiscal Affairs Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910788517803321 996 $aGovernment Debt and Long-Term Interest Rates$93844929 997 $aUNINA