LEADER 04733oam 22011174 450 001 9910788416403321 005 20170918211129.0 010 $a1-4623-5688-5 010 $a1-4527-2392-3 010 $a1-283-51223-8 010 $a1-4519-0817-2 010 $a9786613824684 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443461 035 $a(EBL)3014469 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000940724 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11571964 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000940724 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10955747 035 $a(PQKB)10278577 035 $a(OCoLC)694141140 035 $a(NBER)w12038 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014469 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006021 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443461 100 $a20020129d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aEconomic Transformation, Population Growth, and the Long-Run World Income Distribution /$fMarcos Chamon, Michael Kremer 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2006. 215 $a1 online resource (21 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"January 2006." 311 $a1-4518-6281-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE MODEL""; ""A. Evolution of the World Population""; ""B. Differences Across Countries""; ""III. A SIMPLE CALIBRATION""; ""IV. CONCLUSION"" 330 3 $aThis paper considers the long-run evolution of the world economy in a model where countries' opportunities to develop depend on their trade with advanced economies. As developing countries become advanced, they further improve trade opportunities for the remaining developing countries. Whether or not the world economy converges to widespread prosperity depends on the population growth differential between developing and advanced economies, the rate at which countries develop, and potentially on initial conditions. A calibration using historical data suggests that the long-run prospects for lagging developing regions, such as Africa, likely hinge on the sufficiently rapid development of China and India. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2006/021 606 $aEconomic geography$xEconometric models 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aDemography$2imf 606 $aEmigration and Immigration$2imf 606 $aDemographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts$2imf 606 $aEconomic Growth of Open Economies$2imf 606 $aOne, Two, and Multisector Growth Models$2imf 606 $aDemographic Economics: General$2imf 606 $aInternational Migration$2imf 606 $aPersonal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions$2imf 606 $aPopulation & demography$2imf 606 $aPopulation & migration geography$2imf 606 $aMigration, immigration & emigration$2imf 606 $aPopulation and demographics$2imf 606 $aPopulation growth$2imf 606 $aMigration$2imf 606 $aPersonal income$2imf 606 $aDemographic change$2imf 606 $aNational accounts$2imf 606 $aPopulation$2imf 606 $aEmigration and immigration$2imf 606 $aIncome$2imf 606 $aDemographic transition$2imf 607 $aDeveloping countries$xCommerce$xEconometric models 607 $aChina, People's Republic of$2imf 615 0$aEconomic geography$xEconometric models. 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aDemography 615 7$aEmigration and Immigration 615 7$aDemographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts 615 7$aEconomic Growth of Open Economies 615 7$aOne, Two, and Multisector Growth Models 615 7$aDemographic Economics: General 615 7$aInternational Migration 615 7$aPersonal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions 615 7$aPopulation & demography 615 7$aPopulation & migration geography 615 7$aMigration, immigration & emigration 615 7$aPopulation and demographics 615 7$aPopulation growth 615 7$aMigration 615 7$aPersonal income 615 7$aDemographic change 615 7$aNational accounts 615 7$aPopulation 615 7$aEmigration and immigration 615 7$aIncome 615 7$aDemographic transition 700 $aChamon$b Marcos$01090692 701 $aKremer$b Michael$0485683 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910788416403321 996 $aEconomic Transformation, Population Growth, and the Long-Run World Income Distribution$93802300 997 $aUNINA