LEADER 04878oam 22012614 450 001 9910788405803321 005 20230828235702.0 010 $a1-4623-7503-0 010 $a1-4527-9353-0 010 $a1-283-51549-0 010 $a1-4519-0898-9 010 $a9786613827944 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443722 035 $a(EBL)3014409 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000942110 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11601440 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000942110 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10972154 035 $a(PQKB)11236536 035 $a(OCoLC)698585698 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014409 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006104 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443722 100 $a20020129d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aMarket-Based Estimation of Default Probabilities and its Application to Financial Market Surveillance /$fJorge Chan-Lau 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2006. 215 $a1 online resource (19 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"April 2006." 311 $a1-4518-6364-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. MARKET-BASED DEFAULT PROBABILITIES AND FINANCIAL SURVEILLANCE""; ""II. CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS""; ""III. BONDS""; ""IV. EQUITY PRICES""; ""V. FROM RISK-NEUTRAL PROBABILITIES TO REAL-WORLD PROBABILITIES""; ""VI. CONCLUSIONS""; ""REFERENCES"" 330 3 $aThis paper reviews a number of different techniques for estimating default probabilities from the prices of publicly traded securities. These techniques are useful for assessing credit exposure, systemic risk, and stress testing financial systems. The choice of techniques was guided by their ease of implementation and their applicability to a wide cross-section of countries and markets. Simple one-period cases are studied to sharpen the reader's intuition, and the usefulness of each technique for enhancing financial surveillance is illustrated with real applications. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2006/104 606 $aDefault (Finance) 606 $aRisk management 606 $aFinancial Risk Management$2imf 606 $aInvestments: Bonds$2imf 606 $aInvestments: Stocks$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aMoney and Monetary Policy$2imf 606 $aInternational Financial Markets$2imf 606 $aMonetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General$2imf 606 $aGeneral Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aPension Funds$2imf 606 $aNon-bank Financial Institutions$2imf 606 $aFinancial Instruments$2imf 606 $aInstitutional Investors$2imf 606 $aMonetary economics$2imf 606 $aInvestment & securities$2imf 606 $aFinance$2imf 606 $aCredit default swap$2imf 606 $aBonds$2imf 606 $aAsset prices$2imf 606 $aStocks$2imf 606 $aAsset valuation$2imf 606 $aMoney$2imf 606 $aFinancial institutions$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 606 $aAsset and liability management$2imf 606 $aCredit$2imf 606 $aAsset-liability management$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aDefault (Finance) 615 0$aRisk management. 615 7$aFinancial Risk Management 615 7$aInvestments: Bonds 615 7$aInvestments: Stocks 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aMoney and Monetary Policy 615 7$aInternational Financial Markets 615 7$aMonetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 615 7$aGeneral Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aPension Funds 615 7$aNon-bank Financial Institutions 615 7$aFinancial Instruments 615 7$aInstitutional Investors 615 7$aMonetary economics 615 7$aInvestment & securities 615 7$aFinance 615 7$aCredit default swap 615 7$aBonds 615 7$aAsset prices 615 7$aStocks 615 7$aAsset valuation 615 7$aMoney 615 7$aFinancial institutions 615 7$aPrices 615 7$aAsset and liability management 615 7$aCredit 615 7$aAsset-liability management 700 $aChan-Lau$b Jorge$01462089 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910788405803321 996 $aMarket-Based Estimation of Default Probabilities and its Application to Financial Market Surveillance$93850029 997 $aUNINA