LEADER 04800nam 2200565 450 001 9910788300303321 005 20231030190404.0 035 $a(CKB)2670000000609159 035 $a(EBL)2011528 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001551149 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)16167122 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001551149 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)14811273 035 $a(PQKB)10777419 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC2011528 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000609159 100 $a20150423h20152015 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aAfghanistan at transition $elessons of the longest war /$fAnthony H. Cordesman with Aaron Lin 210 1$aLanham, Maryland :$cCenter for Strategic and International Studies,$d2015. 210 4$dİ2015 215 $a1 online resource (241 pages) 225 1 $aCSIS Reports. 300 $a"A Report of the CSIS Burke Chair in Strategy." 311 08$aPrint version: Cordesman, Anthony H. Afghanistan at transition : lessons of the longest war. Lanham, Maryland : Center for Strategic and International Studies, c2015 xv, 223 pages 9781442240803 327 $aAfghanistan At Transition ; Table of Contents; EXECUTIVE SUMMARY; I. THE STRATEGIC VACUUM IN AFGHANISTAN, CENTRAL AND SOUTH ASIA; US STRATEGY WRITES OFF AFGHANISTAN PAKISTAN, AND THE REGION; A QDR That Largely Wrote Off the Region; President Obama's Statement on Afghanistan on May 27, 2014; President Obama's New Strategy Speech at West Point; NO CLEARER LEAD FROM NATO; A CIVIL FAILURE BY USAID, THE UN AND OTHER DONORS; No Real Future Aid Plans or Afghan Deliverables on Reform; The London Conference in December 2014; The Death of the Tokyo Conference Deliverables; President Ghani on Reform 327 $aII. UNCERTAIN PRIORITIES FOR US STRATEGYUS "STRATEGIC TRIAGE" IS CRITICAL; THE ISSUE IS NOT RESOURCES, BUT STRATEGIC PRIORITY; THE COST-BENEFITS OF UPPING THE ANTE; III. THE "THREAT" FROM AFGHAN POLITICS, LEADERSHIP, GOVERNANCE, AND PROSPECTS FOR STABILITY; THE SHELL OF DEMOCRACY: THE REALITY OF THE PRESIDENCY, POWER BROKERS, PARALLEL DONOR COUNTRY GOVERNANCE; The Reality of National Versus Local Governance; Parallel Governance by ISAF Regional Commands and National Air Donors; The US Role in Weak and Failed Afghan Governance; A DIVIDED, POOR, AND STRUGGLING NATION 327 $aFAILED AND CORRUPT 2014 ELECTIONS THAT DID MORE TO DIVIDE THAN UNITEAN AWKWARD AND UNCERTAIN COMPROMISE; A Deeply Uncertain Compromise at the Top; Limited Progress in Signing a Bilateral Security Agreement; UNCERTAIN AFGHAN LEADERSHIP AND GOVERNANCE: TWO YEARS TOO LATE?; THE HERITAGE OF FAILED GOVERNANCE AND CORRUPTION; Corruption and Incompetence; Keeping Corruption in Perspective; THE BUDGET CRISIS IN REVENUES AND EXPENDITURES; The Failure to Win US and Other Outside Domestic Political Support; The Combined Threat from Host Country Politics, Governance, and Budgeting 327 $aIV. THE ANSF AND THE THREAT FROM AN INTENSIFYING CONFLICTThe President's "Sell by Date": Slashing Advisors and Support Regardless of Conditions in Afghanistan; The Impact of a Late and Erratic Effort to Create Effective Afghan Forces; The US as a Self-Inflicted Threat; A Brief and Largely Ineffective US Surge; Host Country "Threat"; Rushing Force Development beyond Afghan and ISAF Capacity; The Uncertain Threat; The Uncertain Integrity of ISAF and Department of Defense Reporting on the Growing Security Challenges at the Time of Transition 327 $aThe Warnings in UN and SIGAR Casualty Data and Other ReportingThe Final UN Report on Casualties through the End of 2014 Calls ISAF and Department of Defense Reporting into Even More Serious Question; Estimating the Growth of Taliban and Other Insurgent Influence and Control; Mixed Data on Popular Support for the ANSF; V. PROBLEMS IN DEVELOPING AN EFFECTIVE ANSF; THE QUESTION OF SIZE AND COST; UNCERTAIN PROGRESS IN THE ANSF; Grossly Over-classifying Data on Afghan Combat and Police Forces for Political Ends; Issuing Meaningless Metrics on ANSF Capability 327 $aAN UNREADY AND CORRUPT MINISTRY OF DEFENSE AND MINISTRY OF INTERIOR 330 $aAnthony H. Cordesman holds the Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy at CSIS. 410 0$aCSIS Reports 606 $aAfghan War, 2001-2021$xPeace 607 $aAfghanistan$xPolitics and government$y2001-2021 615 0$aAfghan War, 2001-2021$xPeace. 676 $a958.1047 700 $aCordesman$b Anthony H.$0567761 702 $aLin$b Aaron 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910788300303321 996 $aAfghanistan at transition$93690291 997 $aUNINA