LEADER 01344nam0-2200433---450- 001 990000951790203316 005 20060411105705.0 010 $a88-7119-857-3 035 $a0095179 035 $aUSA010095179 035 $a(ALEPH)000095179USA01 035 $a0095179 100 $a20020208h19951988||ita|01 ba 101 $aita 102 $aIT 105 $a|||| ||||| 200 1 $aAppunti di grammatica storica italiana$fLuca Serianni 205 $a5 ed. 210 $aRoma$cBulzoni$d1995$hc1988 215 $a129 p$d21 cm 225 $aBiblioteca di cultura$v350 410 1$12001$aBiblioteca di cultura$v350 606 0 $aLingua italiana$xGrammatica storica 676 $a455 700 1$aSERIANNI,$bLuca$09730 801 0$aIT$bsalbc$gISBD 912 $a990000951790203316 951 $aVI.3.D. 327a(V E COLL. 2/350)$b143978 LM$cV E COLL. 951 $aVI.3.D. 327b(V E COLL. 2/350 BIS)$b143979 LM$cV E COLL. 951 $aVI.3.D. 327(V E COLL. 2/350 A)$b143980 LM$cV E COLL. 959 $aBK 969 $aUMA 979 $aPATTY$b90$c20020208$lUSA01$h0945 979 $c20020403$lUSA01$h1738 979 $aPATRY$b90$c20040406$lUSA01$h1706 979 $aCOPAT7$b90$c20060407$lUSA01$h1020 979 $aCOPAT7$b90$c20060411$lUSA01$h1057 996 $aAppunti di grammatica storica italiana$9101230 997 $aUNISA LEADER 05030oam 22012614 450 001 9910788225703321 005 20230721045714.0 010 $a1-4623-7594-4 010 $a1-282-84420-2 010 $a1-4527-2887-9 010 $a1-4518-7361-1 010 $a9786612844201 035 $a(CKB)3170000000055361 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000940095 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11528466 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000940095 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10949251 035 $a(PQKB)10175152 035 $a(OCoLC)694140988 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1608844 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2009214 035 $a(EXLCZ)993170000000055361 100 $a20020129d2009 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aConstructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis /$fKevin Clinton, Marianne Johnson, Huigang Chen, Ondrej Kamenik, Douglas Laxton 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2009. 215 $a23 p. $cill 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"September 2009." 311 $a1-4519-1783-X 330 3 $aWe derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States, the euro area, and Japan. In the model, the price of oil is a stochastic process, interest rates have a zero floor, and bank lending tightening affects the United States. To calculate confidence intervals that respect the zero interest rate floor, we employ Latin hypercube sampling. Derived confidence bands suggest non-negligible risks that U.S. interest rates might stay near zero for an extended period, and that severe credit conditions might persist. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2009/214 606 $aGlobal Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 606 $aFinancial crises$zUnited States$xEconometric models 606 $aFinancial crises$zEuropean Union countries$xEconometric models 606 $aFinancial crises$zJapan$xEconometric models 606 $aPetroleum products$xPrices$zUnited States$xEconometric models 606 $aPetroleum products$xPrices$zEuropean Union countries$xEconometric models 606 $aPetroleum products$xPrices$zJapan$xEconometric models 606 $aInterest rates$zUnited States$xEconometric models 606 $aInterest rates$zEuropean Union countries$xEconometric models 606 $aInterest rates$zJapan$xEconometric models 606 $aBank loans$zUnited States$xEconometric models 606 $aBank loans$zEuropean Union countries$xEconometric models 606 $aBank loans$zJapan$xEconometric models 606 $aForeign Exchange$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aProduction and Operations Management$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics: Production$2imf 606 $aEnergy: Demand and Supply$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aCurrency$2imf 606 $aForeign exchange$2imf 606 $aOil prices$2imf 606 $aOutput gap$2imf 606 $aPotential output$2imf 606 $aReal exchange rates$2imf 606 $aProduction$2imf 606 $aEconomic theory$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aGlobal Financial Crisis, 2008-2009. 615 0$aFinancial crises$xEconometric models. 615 0$aFinancial crises$xEconometric models. 615 0$aFinancial crises$xEconometric models. 615 0$aPetroleum products$xPrices$xEconometric models. 615 0$aPetroleum products$xPrices$xEconometric models. 615 0$aPetroleum products$xPrices$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInterest rates$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInterest rates$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInterest rates$xEconometric models. 615 0$aBank loans$xEconometric models. 615 0$aBank loans$xEconometric models. 615 0$aBank loans$xEconometric models. 615 7$aForeign Exchange 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aProduction and Operations Management 615 7$aMacroeconomics: Production 615 7$aEnergy: Demand and Supply 615 7$aPrices 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aCurrency 615 7$aForeign exchange 615 7$aOil prices 615 7$aOutput gap 615 7$aPotential output 615 7$aReal exchange rates 615 7$aProduction 615 7$aEconomic theory 700 $aClinton$b Kevin$0185170 701 $aJohnson$b Marianne$01509586 701 $aChen$b Huigang$01472717 701 $aKamenik$b Ondrej$01509587 701 $aLaxton$b Douglas$01462103 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910788225703321 996 $aConstructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis$93741561 997 $aUNINA