LEADER 04443oam 22011294 450 001 9910788223703321 005 20230721045707.0 010 $a1-4623-6685-6 010 $a9786612844461 010 $a1-4518-7395-6 010 $a1-282-84446-6 010 $a1-4527-3189-6 035 $a(CKB)3170000000055383 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000939949 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11518973 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000939949 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10946813 035 $a(PQKB)11118811 035 $a(OCoLC)694140999 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1605964 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2009248 035 $a(EXLCZ)993170000000055383 100 $a20020129d2009 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aToday versus Tomorrow - The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income /$fAlun Thomas, Tamim Bayoumi 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2009. 215 $a17 p. $cill 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"November 2009." 311 $a1-4519-1810-0 330 3 $aThis paper applies the Permanent Income Model to the non-oil current accounts of the major oil exporters to assess the extent to which national consumption decisions in these countries are made on the basis of permanent versus current income. A test of whether the return on oil wealth and oil balance coefficients sum to unity is accepted for all specifications that adjust the return on wealth for future population changes. For oil-exporting countries outside Africa, around half of the fluctuations in the private sector non-oil balance are driven by considerations of changes in permanent income (the return on oil wealth) rather than current income. By contrast, for the public sector and African countries permanent income has little or no effect. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2009/248 606 $aPetroleum industry and trade$xEconometric models 606 $aBalance of payments$xEconometric models 606 $aConsumption (Economics)$xMathematical models 606 $aRevenue$xEconometric models 606 $aInvestments: Energy$2imf 606 $aExports and Imports$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aEnergy: General$2imf 606 $aFiscal Policy$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics: Consumption$2imf 606 $aSaving$2imf 606 $aWealth$2imf 606 $aAggregate Factor Income Distribution$2imf 606 $aCurrent Account Adjustment$2imf 606 $aShort-term Capital Movements$2imf 606 $aInvestment & securities$2imf 606 $aInternational economics$2imf 606 $aOil$2imf 606 $aFiscal stance$2imf 606 $aConsumption$2imf 606 $aIncome$2imf 606 $aCurrent account$2imf 606 $aPetroleum industry and trade$2imf 606 $aFiscal policy$2imf 606 $aEconomics$2imf 606 $aBalance of payments$2imf 607 $aQatar$2imf 615 0$aPetroleum industry and trade$xEconometric models. 615 0$aBalance of payments$xEconometric models. 615 0$aConsumption (Economics)$xMathematical models. 615 0$aRevenue$xEconometric models. 615 7$aInvestments: Energy 615 7$aExports and Imports 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aEnergy: General 615 7$aFiscal Policy 615 7$aMacroeconomics: Consumption 615 7$aSaving 615 7$aWealth 615 7$aAggregate Factor Income Distribution 615 7$aCurrent Account Adjustment 615 7$aShort-term Capital Movements 615 7$aInvestment & securities 615 7$aInternational economics 615 7$aOil 615 7$aFiscal stance 615 7$aConsumption 615 7$aIncome 615 7$aCurrent account 615 7$aPetroleum industry and trade 615 7$aFiscal policy 615 7$aEconomics 615 7$aBalance of payments 700 $aThomas$b Alun$01098448 701 $aBayoumi$b Tamim$0122763 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bStrategy, Policy, and Review Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910788223703321 996 $aToday versus Tomorrow - The Sensitivity of the Non-Oil Current Account Balance to Permanent and Current Income$93741541 997 $aUNINA