LEADER 04212nam 22005295 450 001 9910787409803321 005 20230126212742.0 010 $a0-8047-9437-5 024 7 $a10.1515/9780804794374 035 $a(CKB)3710000000364963 035 $a(EBL)1977972 035 $a(DE-B1597)564547 035 $a(DE-B1597)9780804794374 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1977972 035 $a(OCoLC)1178769421 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000364963 100 $a20200723h20202015 fg 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|nu---|u||u 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aChina's Futures $ePRC Elites Debate Economics, Politics, and Foreign Policy /$fDaniel C. Lynch 210 1$aStanford, CA :$cStanford University Press,$d[2020] 210 4$dİ2015 215 $a1 online resource (xx, 328 pages) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-8047-9257-7 327 $tFront matter --$tContents --$tPreface: Competing Chinese Conceptions of the PRC?s Possible Futures --$tChapter 1. The Pitfalls of Rationalist Predictioneering --$tChapter 2. Economic Growth: Marching into a Middle-Income Trap? --$tChapter 3. The Leninist Political System Confronts a Pluralistic, Wealthy Society --$tChapter 4. The New Frontier: Changing Communication Patterns and China?s Transformation into a ?Network Society? --$tChapter 5. China?s Rise: Irreversibly Reconfiguring International Relations? --$tChapter 6. Competing with the West on the ?Cultural Front? in International Relations --$tChapter 7. Competing with the West on the ?Cultural Front? in International Relations --$tNotes --$tGlossary of Chinese Terms --$tBibliography --$tIndex 330 $aChina's Futures cuts through the sometimes confounding and unfounded speculation of international pundits and commentators to provide readers with an important yet overlooked set of complex views concerning China's future: views originating within China itself. Daniel Lynch seeks to answer the simple but rarely asked question: how do China's own leaders and other elite figures assess their country's future? Many Western social scientists, business leaders, journalists, technocrats, analysts, and policymakers convey confident predictions about the future of China's rise. Every day, the business, political, and even entertainment news is filled with stories and commentary not only on what is happening in China now, but also what Western experts confidently think will happen in the future. Typically missing from these accounts is how people of power and influence in China itself imagine their country's developmental course. Yet the assessments of elites in a still super-authoritarian country like China should make a critical difference in what the national trajectory eventually becomes. In China's Futures, Lynch traces the varying possible national trajectories based on how China's own specialists are evaluating their country's current course, and his book is the first to assess the strengths and weaknesses of "predictioneering" in Western social science as applied to China. It does so by examining Chinese debates in five critical issue-areas concerning China's trajectory: the economy, domestic political processes and institutions, communication and the Internet (arrival of the "network society"), foreign policy strategy, and international soft-power (cultural) competition. 606 $aElite (Social sciences)$zChina$xAttitudes 606 $aPublic opinion$zChina 607 $aChina$xPolitics and government$y2002-$xPublic opinion 607 $aChina$xForeign relations$y21st century$xPublic opinion 607 $aChina$xEconomic conditions$y2000-$xPublic opinion 607 $aChina$xSocial conditions$y2000-$xPublic opinion 607 $aChina$xForecasting 615 0$aElite (Social sciences)$xAttitudes 615 0$aPublic opinion 676 $a900 700 $aLynch$b Daniel C.$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut$01488604 801 0$bDE-B1597 801 1$bDE-B1597 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910787409803321 996 $aChina's Futures$93708876 997 $aUNINA