LEADER 04742nam 2200601Ia 450 001 9910786359903321 005 20230801225209.0 010 $a0-674-07125-5 010 $a0-674-06793-2 024 7 $a10.4159/harvard.9780674067936 035 $a(CKB)2670000000276404 035 $a(StDuBDS)AH24487524 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000756804 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11419180 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000756804 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10769472 035 $a(PQKB)10724569 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3301163 035 $a(DE-B1597)177963 035 $a(OCoLC)835789852 035 $a(OCoLC)979588450 035 $a(DE-B1597)9780674067936 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3301163 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10621348 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000276404 100 $a20120308d2012 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur||||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 14$aThe rise of China vs. the logic of strategy /$fEdward N. Luttwak 210 $aCambridge, Mass, $cBelknap Press$d2012 215 $a1 online resource (ix, 310 p.) 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 0 $a0-674-06642-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $tFront matter --$tContents --$tPreface --$tChapter One. The Fallacy of Unresisted Aggrandizement --$tChapter Two. Premature Assertiveness --$tChapter Three. Great- State Autism Defined --$tChapter Four. Historical Residues in Chinese Conduct --$tChapter Five. The Coming Geo- Economic Resistance to the Rise of China --$tChapter Six. China's Aggrandizement and Global Reactions --$tChapter Seven. The Inevitable Analogy --$tChapter Eight. Could China Adopt a Successful Grand Strategy? --$tChapter Nine. The Strategic Unwisdom of the Ancients --$tChapter Ten. Strategic Competence. The Historical Record --$tChapter Eleven. The Inevitability of Mounting Resistance --$tChapter Twelve. Why Current Policies Will Persist --$tChapter Thirteen. Australia Weaving a Coalition --$tChapter Fourteen. Japan Disengaging from Disengagement --$tChapter Fifteen. Defiant Vietnam. The Newest American Ally? --$tChapter Sixteen. South Korea. A Model Tianxia Subordinate? --$tChapter Seventeen. Mongolia. Northern Outpost of the Coalition? --$tChapter Eighteen. Indonesia. From Ostracism to Coalition --$tChapter Nineteen. The Philippines. How to Make Enemies --$tChapter Twenty. Norway Norway? Norway! --$tChapter Twenty - one. The Three China Policies of the United States --$tChapter Twenty - two. Conclusions and Predictions --$tAppendix. The Rise and Fall of "Peaceful Rise" --$tNotes --$tGlossary --$tIndex 330 $aAs the rest of the world worries about what a future might look like under Chinese supremacy, Edward Luttwak worries about China's own future prospects. Applying the logic of strategy for which he is well known, Luttwak argues that the most populous nation on Earth-and its second largest economy-may be headed for a fall. For any country whose rising strength cannot go unnoticed, the universal logic of strategy allows only military or economic growth. But China is pursuing both goals simultaneously. Its military buildup and assertive foreign policy have already stirred up resistance among its neighbors, just three of whom-India, Japan, and Vietnam-together exceed China in population and wealth. Unless China's leaders check their own ambitions, a host of countries, which are already forming tacit military coalitions, will start to impose economic restrictions as well. Chinese leaders will find it difficult to choose between pursuing economic prosperity and increasing China's military strength. Such a change would be hard to explain to public opinion. Moreover, Chinese leaders would have to end their reliance on ancient strategic texts such as Sun Tzu's Art of War. While these guides might have helped in diplomatic and military conflicts within China itself, their tactics-such as deliberately provoking crises to force negotiations-turned China's neighbors into foes. To avoid arousing the world's enmity further, Luttwak advises, Chinese leaders would be wise to pursue a more sustainable course of economic growth combined with increasing military and diplomatic restraint. 606 $aGeopolitics$zChina 607 $aChina$xStrategic aspects 607 $aChina$xMilitary policy 607 $aChina$xForeign relations$y1976- 615 0$aGeopolitics 676 $a355.033551 700 $aLuttwak$b Edward$029202 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910786359903321 996 $aThe rise of China vs. the logic of strategy$93786915 997 $aUNINA