LEADER 04038nam 22007572 450 001 9910785218703321 005 20151005020622.0 010 $a1-107-21527-7 010 $a0-511-85134-0 010 $a1-282-90802-2 010 $a9786612908026 010 $a0-511-76272-0 010 $a0-511-91784-8 010 $a0-511-91686-8 010 $a0-511-91882-8 010 $a0-511-91505-5 010 $a0-511-91326-5 035 $a(CKB)2670000000054443 035 $a(EBL)585390 035 $a(OCoLC)689996474 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000415760 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11259386 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000415760 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10418251 035 $a(PQKB)10142392 035 $a(UkCbUP)CR9780511762727 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC585390 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL585390 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10431405 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL290802 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000054443 100 $a20141103d2010|||| uy| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur||||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aDeterminants of democratization $eexplaining regime change in the world, 1972-2006 /$fby Jan Teorell$b[electronic resource] 210 1$aCambridge :$cCambridge University Press,$d2010. 215 $a1 online resource (xi, 208 pages) $cdigital, PDF file(s) 300 $aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015). 311 $a0-521-13968-6 311 $a0-521-19906-9 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aCover; Half-title; Title; Copyright; Dedication; Contents; List of tables; List of figures; Acknowledgments; Introduction; 1 Explaining democratization; 2 The shadow of the past: social determinants; 3 The power of prosperity: economic determinants; 4 The impetus from abroad: international determinants; 5 The force from below: popular mobilization; 6 Exogenous shocks and authoritarian regime types: institutional contingency; 7 Conclusions; Appendix A Data and variable definitions; Appendix B Statistical model; Appendix C Robustness tests; Appendix D The pathway criterion; References; Index 330 $aWhat are the determinants of democratization? Do the factors that move countries toward democracy also help them refrain from backsliding toward autocracy? This book attempts to answer these questions through a combination of a statistical analysis of social, economic, and international determinants of regime change in 165 countries around the world in 1972-2006, and case study work on nine episodes of democratization occurring in Argentina, Bolivia, Hungary, Nepal, Peru, the Philippines, South Africa, Turkey, and Uruguay. The findings suggest that democracy is promoted by long-term structural forces such as economic prosperity, but also by peaceful popular uprisings and the institutional setup of authoritarian regimes. In the short-run, however, elite actors may play a key role, particularly through the importance of intra-regime splits. Jan Teorell argues that these results have important repercussions both for current theories of democratization and for the international community's effort in developing policies for democracy promotion. 606 $aRegime change$xHistory$y20th century 606 $aRegime change$xHistory$y21st century 606 $aDemocratization$xHistory$y20th century 606 $aDemocratization$xHistory$y21st century 606 $aRegime change$vCase studies 606 $aDemocratization$vCase studies 615 0$aRegime change$xHistory 615 0$aRegime change$xHistory 615 0$aDemocratization$xHistory 615 0$aDemocratization$xHistory 615 0$aRegime change 615 0$aDemocratization 676 $a321.809045 700 $aTeorell$b Jan$01542605 801 0$bUkCbUP 801 1$bUkCbUP 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910785218703321 996 $aDeterminants of democratization$93795481 997 $aUNINA