LEADER 03216nam 2200649 a 450 001 9910784886503321 005 20230721030647.0 010 $a1-281-91161-5 010 $a9786611911614 010 $a981-277-085-2 035 $a(CKB)1000000000401877 035 $a(OCoLC)646768819 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebrary10255844 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000204059 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11172497 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000204059 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10176734 035 $a(PQKB)10149022 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1681640 035 $a(WSP)00006578 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1681640 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10255844 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL191161 035 $a(OCoLC)879025529 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000401877 100 $a20071019d2008 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aModelling financial time series$b[electronic resource] /$fStephen J Taylor 205 $a2nd ed. 210 $aNew Jersey $cWorld Scientific$dc2008 215 $a1 online resource (297 p.) 300 $aReprint of the edition originally published: Chichester [West Sussex] ; New York : Wiley, c1986. 311 $a981-277-084-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 256-261) and indexes. 327 $a1. Introduction -- 2. Features of financial returns -- 3. Modelling price volatility -- 4. Forecasting standard deviations -- 5. The accuracy of autocorrelation estimates -- 6. Testing the random walk hypothesis -- 7. Forecasting trends in prices -- 8. Evidence against the efficiency of future markets -- 9. Valuing options -- 10. Concluding remarks. 330 $a"This book contains several innovative models for the prices of financial assets. First published in 1986, it is a classic text in the area of financial econometrics. It presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models that are often used and cited in academic research and are applied by quantitative analysts in many banks. Another often-cited contribution of the first edition is the documentation of statistical characteristics of financial returns, which are referred to as stylized facts. This second edition takes into account the remarkable progress made by empirical researchers during the past two decades from 1986 to 2006. In the new Preface, the author summarizes this progress in two key areas: firstly, measuring, modelling and forecasting volatility; and secondly, detecting and exploiting price trends." 606 $aStocks$xPrices$xMathematical models 606 $aCommodity exchanges$xMathematical models 606 $aFinancial futures$xMathematical models 606 $aTime-series analysis 615 0$aStocks$xPrices$xMathematical models. 615 0$aCommodity exchanges$xMathematical models. 615 0$aFinancial futures$xMathematical models. 615 0$aTime-series analysis. 676 $a332.63/222011 700 $aTaylor$b Stephen$g(Stephen J.)$0372606 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910784886503321 996 $aModelling financial time series$9626875 997 $aUNINA