LEADER 04010nam 2200673Ia 450 001 9910782625903321 005 20230912143745.0 010 $a1-283-13167-6 010 $a9786613131676 010 $a0-7748-5376-X 024 7 $a10.59962/9780774853767 035 $a(CKB)1000000000714132 035 $a(OCoLC)180704170 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebrary10135969 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000278572 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11195885 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000278572 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10246886 035 $a(PQKB)10377067 035 $a(CaPaEBR)404162 035 $a(CaBNvSL)jme00326407 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3412214 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10141327 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL313167 035 $a(OCoLC)923443359 035 $a(VaAlCD)20.500.12592/rvp1ck 035 $a(schport)gibson_crkn/2009-12-01/2/404162 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3412214 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3245686 035 $a(DE-B1597)661986 035 $a(DE-B1597)9780774853767 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000714132 100 $a19941014d1995 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aDemographic projection techniques for regions and smaller areas$b[electronic resource] $ea primer /$fH. Craig Davis 210 $aVancouver $cUBC Press$dc1995 215 $a1 online resource (129 p.) 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a0-7748-0501-3 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $tFront Matter -- $tContents -- $tPreface -- $tIntroduction -- $tMathematical Extrapolation I -- $tMathematical Extrapolation II -- $tComparative Methods -- $tThe Cohort-Survival Population Model -- $tMigration Models -- $tA Final Note -- $tLinear Regression -- $tLogarithms -- $tNotes -- $tSelected Readings -- $tIndex 330 $aThe ability to project population trends is of vital importance for anyone involved in planning -- in the public as well as the private sector. This book provides the tools for making such projections and discusses four principal approaches: mathematical extrapolation, comparative methods, cohort survival and migration models. Following the introductory chapter, which considers the need and uses for population projections, the next two chapters are concerned with mathematical extrapolation techniques, as they are the tools most commonly used to project the size of a population and are also frequently employed in projecting components of one or more of the other three approaches. In Chapter 3, the author outlines a four-step projection procedure which is used throughout the remainder of the book. Chapter 4 describes how to project population size by comparing the growth pattern of the population under study with that of another population. The next chapter covers one of the most commonly employed techniques of population projection -- the cohort-survival model, which is used not only to project the size of a population but also its composition in terms of age and sex groupings. The final chapter focuses on migration, generally the most volatile component of the basic demographics equation. Primarily written for courses in planning, this book is also useful for anyone having to make decisions affected by population trends, whether they involve planning for future growth or alerting local decisionmakers to external uncertainties that could have a serious impact on the future of the community. 606 $aPopulation forecasting$xMethodology 606 $aDemography$xMethodology 615 0$aPopulation forecasting$xMethodology. 615 0$aDemography$xMethodology. 676 $a304.6/01/12 700 $aDavis$b H. Craig$01499697 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910782625903321 996 $aDemographic projection techniques for regions and smaller areas$93836522 997 $aUNINA