LEADER 03111nam  22006252  450 
001 9910780074003321
005 20151005020623.0
010   $a1-107-11841-7
010   $a1-280-15896-4
010   $a0-511-11814-7
010   $a0-511-14944-1
010   $a0-511-32446-4
010   $a0-511-49232-4
010   $a0-511-04891-2
035   $a(CKB)111056485651442
035   $a(EBL)202046
035   $a(OCoLC)228039932
035   $a(SSID)ssj0000146236
035   $a(PQKBManifestationID)11164956
035   $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000146236
035   $a(PQKBWorkID)10186248
035   $a(PQKB)11151225
035   $a(UkCbUP)CR9780511492327
035   $a(MiAaPQ)EBC202046
035   $a(Au-PeEL)EBL202046
035   $a(CaPaEBR)ebr2000930
035   $a(CaONFJC)MIL15896
035   $a(EXLCZ)99111056485651442
100   $a20090302d1999||||  uy|            0
101 0 $aeng
135   $aur|||||||||||
181   $ctxt$2rdacontent
182   $cc$2rdamedia
183   $acr$2rdacarrier
200 10$aEmpirical modeling in economics $especification and evaluation /$fClive W.J. Granger$b[electronic resource]
210  1$aCambridge :$cCambridge University Press,$d1999.
215   $a1 online resource (xii, 99 pages) $cdigital, PDF file(s)
300   $aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).
311   $a0-521-77825-5 
311   $a0-521-66208-7 
320   $aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
327   $aForeword / G.C. Harcourt -- 1. The specification of empirical models -- 2. The evaluation of empirical models -- 3. Comments on the evaluation of econometric models and of forecasts.
330   $aIn these three essays, Professor Granger explains the process of constructing and evaluating an empirical model. Drawing on a wide range of cases and vignettes from economics, finance, politics and environment economics, as well as from art, literature, and the entertainment industry, Professor Granger combines rigour with intuition to provide a unique and entertaining insight into one of the most important subjects in modern economics. Chapter 1 deals with Specification. The process of specifying a model is discussed using  deforestation in the Amazon region of Brazil as an illustration. Chapter 2 considers Evaluation, and argues that insufficent evaluation is undertaken by economists, and that models should be evaluated in terms of the quality of their output. In Chapter 3, the question of how to evaluate forecasts is considered at several levels of increasing depth and using a more sophisticated, technical approach than in the earlier two chapters.
606   $aEconomics$xMathematical models
606   $aEconometrics$xEvaluation
615  0$aEconomics$xMathematical models.
615  0$aEconometrics$xEvaluation.
676   $a330.015118
700   $aGranger$b C. W. J$g(Clive William John),$f1934-2009,$0293360
801  0$bUkCbUP
801  1$bUkCbUP
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910780074003321
996   $aEmpirical modeling in economics$9509061
997   $aUNINA