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Remittances : $eAn Overlooked Channel of International Business Cycle Transmission? /$fAdolfo Barajas, Ralph Chami, Christian Ebeke, Sampawende Tapsoba 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2012. 215 $a1 online resource (26 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 225 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/12/251 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-4755-3582-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Baseline Specifications of the Effect of Remittances on Business Cycle Synchronization; A. Unilateral Specification; B. Specification Based on Bilateral Data; C. Data; III. Preliminary Results; A. Results Using Aggregate Data; B. Results Using Bilateral Data; Tables; 1. Impact of Remittance Inflows on International Business Cycle Synchronization; IV. Is the Effect of Remittance Inflows Asymmetric?; 2. Bilateral Determinants of Business Cycle Synchronization; 3. Asymmetric Impact of Remittances; 4. Asymmetric Impact of Remittances: Bilateral Data 327 $aV. Identifying a Causal Relationship Between Remittances and the International Business Cycle Synchronization A. Using the Selection Based on Observables to Assess the Bias from Unobservables; B. Addressing the Potential Reverse Causality Between Remittances and the Components of the Dependent Variable; 5. Additional Controls and Assessing the Bias due to Selection Based?; 6. Instrumental Variable Estimates: Aggregate Data; 7. Instrumental Variable Estimates: Bilateral Data; VI. Concluding Remarks; References; Appendix; I. Descriptive Statistics and List of Countries; A. Aggregate Data 327 $aAppendix Tables A1. Descriptive Statistics; A2. List of Countries, 70; B. Bilateral Data; B1. Descriptive Statistics; B2. List of Countries, 10 330 3 $aThis paper shows that remittance flows significantly increase the business cycle synchronization between remittance-recipient countries and the rest of the world. Using both aggregate and bilateral remittances data in a panel data setting, the study demonstrates that this effect is robust and causal. Moreover, the econometric analysis reveals that remittance flows are more effective in channeling economic downturns than upswings from the sending countries to remittance-receiving economies. 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