LEADER 04587nam 2200793 a 450 001 9910779315803321 005 20230302202001.0 010 $a1-4008-4731-1 010 $a1-299-13327-4 024 7 $a10.1515/9781400847310 035 $a(CKB)2550000001000218 035 $a(EBL)1113396 035 $a(OCoLC)828302493 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000821837 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11525231 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000821837 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10879017 035 $a(PQKB)10590743 035 $a(OCoLC)844328650 035 $a(MdBmJHUP)muse41485 035 $a(DE-B1597)447782 035 $a(OCoLC)1013954722 035 $a(OCoLC)1029824860 035 $a(OCoLC)1032684289 035 $a(OCoLC)1037982310 035 $a(OCoLC)1041907825 035 $a(OCoLC)1046607039 035 $a(OCoLC)1046683915 035 $a(OCoLC)1047003826 035 $a(OCoLC)1054877691 035 $a(OCoLC)922696314 035 $a(DE-B1597)9781400847310 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1113396 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10655469 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL444577 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1113396 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000001000218 100 $a19960618d1997 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 14$aThe ecological detective$b[electronic resource] $econfronting models with data /$fRay Hilborn and Marc Mangel 205 $aCourse Book 210 $aPrinceton, N.J. $cPrinceton University Press$d1997 215 $a1 online resource (335 p.) 225 0 $aMonographs in Population Biology ;$v28 225 0$aMonographs in population biology ;$v28 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-691-03496-6 311 $a0-691-03497-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $tFrontmatter --$tContents --$tPreface: Beyond The Null Hypothesis --$t1. An Ecological Scenario and the Tools of the Ecological Detective --$t2. Alternative Views of the Scientific Method and of Modeling --$t3. Probability and Probability Models: Know Your Data --$t4. Incidental Catch in Fisheries: Seabirds in the New Zealand Squid Trawl Fishery --$t5. The Confrontation: Sum of Squares --$t6. The Evolutionary Ecology of Insect Oviposition Behavior --$t7. The Confrontation: Likelihood and Maximum Likelihood --$t8. Conservation Biology of Wildebeest in the Serengeti --$t9. The Confrontation: Bayesian Goodness of Fit --$t10. Management of Hake Fisheries in Namibia --$t11. The Confrontation: Understanding How the Best Fit Is Found --$tAPPENDIX. "The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses" /$rChamberlain, T. C. --$tReferences --$tIndex 330 $aThe modern ecologist usually works in both the field and laboratory, uses statistics and computers, and often works with ecological concepts that are model-based, if not model-driven. How do we make the field and laboratory coherent? How do we link models and data? How do we use statistics to help experimentation? How do we integrate modeling and statistics? How do we confront multiple hypotheses with data and assign degrees of belief to different hypotheses? How do we deal with time series (in which data are linked from one measurement to the next) or put multiple sources of data into one inferential framework? These are the kinds of questions asked and answered by The Ecological Detective. Ray Hilborn and Marc Mangel investigate ecological data much as a detective would investigate a crime scene by trying different hypotheses until a coherent picture emerges. The book is not a set of pat statistical procedures but rather an approach. The Ecological Detective makes liberal use of computer programming for the generation of hypotheses, exploration of data, and the comparison of different models. The authors' attitude is one of exploration, both statistical and graphical. The background required is minimal, so that students with an undergraduate course in statistics and ecology can profitably add this work to their tool-kit for solving ecological problems. 410 0$aMonographs in Population Biology 606 $aEcology$xMathematical models 615 0$aEcology$xMathematical models. 676 $a574.5/0151 686 $aWI 1500$2rvk 700 $aHilborn$b Ray$f1947-$0624951 701 $aMangel$b Marc$055836 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910779315803321 996 $aThe ecological detective$93829932 997 $aUNINA