LEADER 03097nam 2200673 a 450 001 9910777957803321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-282-08857-2 010 $a9786612088575 010 $a0-300-14495-4 024 7 $a10.12987/9780300144956 035 $a(CKB)1000000000764777 035 $a(StDuBDS)BDZ0022168135 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000226374 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11203144 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000226374 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10258368 035 $a(PQKB)10931150 035 $a(StDuBDS)EDZ0000157714 035 $a(DE-B1597)485295 035 $a(OCoLC)1013940007 035 $a(DE-B1597)9780300144956 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3420445 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10315706 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL208857 035 $a(OCoLC)923592882 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3420445 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000764777 100 $a20070517d2007 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur||||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aPredictocracy$b[electronic resource] $emarket mechanisms for public and private decision making /$fMichael Abramowicz 210 $aNew Haven $cYale University Press$dc2007 215 $a1 online resource (1 online resource (xviii, 346 p.) ) $cill 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a0-300-11599-7 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 315-342) and index. 327 $aThe media -- Policy analysts -- Businesses -- Committees -- Regulatory bodies -- Administrative agencies -- Public corporations -- Courts -- Legislative bodies -- Predictocracy. 330 $aPredicting the future is serious business for virtually all public and private institutions, for they must often make important decisions based on such predictions. This visionary book explores how institutions from legislatures to corporations might improve their predictions and arrive at better decisions by means of prediction markets, a promising new tool with virtually unlimited potential applications. Michael Abramowicz explains how prediction markets work; why they accurately forecast elections, sports contests, and other events; and how they may even advance the ideals of our system of republican government. He also explores the ways in which prediction markets address common problems related to institutional decision making. Throughout the book the author extends current thinking about prediction markets and offers imaginative proposals for their use in an array of settings and situations. 606 $aBusiness forecasting 606 $aEconomic forecasting 606 $aDecision making 606 $aForecasting 615 0$aBusiness forecasting. 615 0$aEconomic forecasting. 615 0$aDecision making. 615 0$aForecasting. 676 $a658.4/0355 700 $aAbramowicz$b Michael$01142949 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910777957803321 996 $aPredictocracy$93805946 997 $aUNINA