LEADER 02159nam 2200325 450 001 9910774751603321 005 20230219042719.0 035 $a(CKB)5470000001631843 035 $a(NjHacI)995470000001631843 035 $a(EXLCZ)995470000001631843 100 $a20230219d2022 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur||||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aEIB Working Paper 2022/14 - The scarring effects of major economic downturns $eThe role of fiscal policy and government investment /$fEuropean Investment Bank 210 1$a[Place of publication not identified] :$cEuropean Investment Bank,$d2022. 215 $a1 online resource (62 pages) 330 $a"Despite the efforts of policy makers to tackle recessions as they happen, there is ample evidence that major economic downturns produce lasting negative effects on real GDP, pointing to the existence of "economic scarring". This paper takes a fresh look at economic scarring in 26 OECD countries, including 14 EU member states, since 1970 and examines the role played by fiscal policy in limiting these impacts. It finds that higher current expenditure does not mitigate the lasting impact of major economic downturns on real GDP. By contrast, more government investment could help to do so, but this is generally less favoured as a policy response. As a result, scarring effects are significant, confronting governments with higher debt levels, which in turn weigh on the room for manoeuvre in subsequent downturns. In sum, fiscal policy makers face two difficulties in the event of a major economic downturn: adopting the right type of fiscal expansion, and finding the right time to pivot from short-term stabilisation to fiscal consolidation, while protecting investment." 517 $aEIB Working Paper 2022/14 - The scarring effects of major economic downturns 606 $aBusiness education 615 0$aBusiness education. 676 $a650 801 0$bNjHacI 801 1$bNjHacl 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910774751603321 996 $aEIB Working Paper 2022$92835651 997 $aUNINA