LEADER 03984nam 22007213 450 001 9910765831703321 005 20241107095048.0 010 $a1-134-76541-X 010 $a1-134-76542-8 010 $a1-280-22125-9 010 $a9786610221257 010 $a0-203-98205-3 024 7 $a10.4324/9780203982051 035 $a(CKB)1000000000253861 035 $a(EBL)1138316 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000248943 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11221946 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000248943 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10202729 035 $a(PQKB)10698124 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1138316 035 $a(OCoLC)252723417 035 $a(oapen)https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/38636 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC7245320 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL7245320 035 $a(OCoLC)824536065 035 $a(ODN)ODN0004067439 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000253861 100 $a20231110h20141996 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 14$aThe South African economy $emacroeconomic prospects for the medium term /$fFinn Tarp and Peter Brixen 210 $d2005 210 1$aOxfordshire, England ;$aNew York :$cRoutledge,$d2014. 210 4$dİ1996 215 $a1 online resource (236 p.) 225 1 $aRoutledge Studies in Development Economics,$x1359-7884 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-415-14260-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aCover; Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; List of Figures; List of Table and Boxes; Preface; Acknowledgements; Abbreviations; 1. INTRODUCTION; 2. GENERAL COUNTRY BACKGROUND; Macroeconomic features and trend; Socio-economic characteristics; Legacies of apartheid in perspective; Policy frameworks; 3. ACCOUNTING FRAMEWORK AND BASE YEAR DATA; Prices and exchange rates; Material balance; Balance of payments; Money market; Government accounts; Other variables; Disaggregated GDP and export data; Conclusion; 4. MODELLING FRAMEWORKS; The financial programming approach of the IMF 327 $aThe Revised Minimum Standard Model of the World BankDiscussion; 5. MODEL EXPERIMENTS; Experiment 1: Exchange rate depreciation; Experiment 2: Government external borrowing; Experiment 3: Foreign reserves; Experiment 4: Domestic inflation; Experiment 5: GDP growth; Experiment 6: Export quantity versus export price; Conclusion; 6. BASE RUN; Background; Demand and supply; Prices and exchange rates; Balance of payments; Government accounts; Asset stocks; Conclusion; 7. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS; Introduction; Alternative assumptions; Results; Summing-up; 8. CONCLUSION 327 $aAPPENDIX A: Modelling frameworks in GAMSA.1 Introduction; A.2 Financial Programming Framework; A.3 The Revised Minimum Standard Model; APPENDIX ?: BASE RUN; APPENDIX C: OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO; APPENDIX D: PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO; Bibliography; Index 330 $aWhat are the macroeconomic prospects for South Africa until the new millennium? Two methods of macroeconomic modelling, associated with the World Bank and IMF, are used here to generate three scenarios, based on moderately optimistic projections. The methodology used can be applied to other developing countries. 410 0$aRoutledge studies in development economics. 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zSouth Africa$xEconometric models 607 $aSouth Africa$xEconomic conditions$y1991-$xEconometric models 607 $aSouth Africa$xEconomic policy$xEconometric models 615 0$aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models. 676 $a330.968/064 686 $aBUS000000$aBUS069000$2bisacsh 700 $aTarp$b Finn$f1951-$0128074 702 $aBrixen$b Peter$f1963- 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910765831703321 996 $aThe South African Economy$93350582 997 $aUNINA