LEADER 05807nam 2200745Ia 450 001 9910455717003321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4623-7139-6 010 $a1-4519-8652-1 010 $a1-283-53391-X 010 $a1-4519-8093-0 010 $a9786613846365 035 $a(CKB)2470000000001385 035 $a(EBL)1605788 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000432191 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11262929 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000432191 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10493658 035 $a(PQKB)11767457 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1605788 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1605788 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10300221 035 $a(OCoLC)870244692 035 $a(EXLCZ)992470000000001385 100 $a20091203d2008 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 00$aRegional economic outlook$iAsia and Pacific Apr. 08$b[electronic resource] 210 $a[Washington, D.C.] $cInternational Monetary Fund$dc2008 215 $a1 online resource (50 p.) 225 1 $aWorld economic and financial surveys,$x0258-7440 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-58906-710-X 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Contents; Definitions; Executive Summary; I. Overview; Recent Macroeconomic Developments; Figures; 1.1 Emerging Asia: Real GDP Growth; 1.2 ASEAN-5: Contributions to GDP Growth; 1.3 NIEs: Contributions to GDP Growth; 1.4 Selected Asia: Industrial Production; 1.5 Emerging Asia: Retail Sales Volume; 1.6 Japan, China, and India: Exports of Non-Oil Goods; 1.7 Emerging Asia: Exports of Goods; 1.8 Japan, China, and India: Imports of Non-Oil Goods; 1.9 Emerging Asia: Imports of Goods; 1.10 Emerging Asia: Consumer Prices; 1.11 Emerging Asia: Core CPI; 1.12 Emerging Asia: Producer Prices 327 $a1.13 Emerging Asia: Consumer and Producer Prices1.14 Price-Earnings Ratio; 1.15 Nominal Effective Exchange Rates; Boxes; 1.1 Asian Electronics Exports: Recent Developments and Outlook; 1.2 Asia's ""Nontraditional"" Export Markets; 1.3 Impact of High Oil Prices on Asian Economies: So Far Largely Benign?; Recent Financial Market Developments; Tables; 1.1 Price-Earnings Ratios; 1.16 Selected Asia: Stock Market Indices; 1.17 Selected Asia: Net Equity Inflows; 1.18 Hedge Funds: Total Return; 1.19 Selected Asia: Credit Risk; 1.20 Selected Asia: Bank Loan-to-Deposit Ratios 327 $a1.21 Liquidity Risk: Composite IndicatorOutlook and Risks; 1.22 Japan Domestic Bond Issuance: Samurai Bonds; 1.4 Asia: Lessons from the Subprime Crisis; 1.23 Emerging Asia: Quarterly GDP Growth Forecasts; 1.2 Asia: Real GDP Growth; 1.3 Asia: Real Export Growth; 1.4 Asia: Investment Growth; 1.5 Asia: Private Consumption Growth; Policy Implications; 1.24 Selected Asia: Private Sector Credit Growth; 1.25 Selected Asia: Changes in Policy Rates Since January 1, 2007; 1.26 Selected Asia: Private Sector Inflation Forecasts; 1.27 Selected Asia: Real Monetary Conditions Indices 327 $a1.6 Asia: Selected Fiscal IndicatorsII. Can Asia Decouple? Investigating Spillovers from the United States to Asia; Trade and Financial Exposure to the United States; 2.1 Export Exposure to Industrial Countries; Asia's Growth and Financial Cycles: Are They Synchronized with the United States?; 2.2 Financial Exposure to the United States; 2.3 Growth Correlation with the United States; Estimating U.S. Spillovers; 2.4 Correlations in Stock Market Returns; 2.5 Growth Spillovers Among Regions; 2.6 Recent Growth Spillovers Among Regions; 2.7 Globalization and Spillovers 327 $a2.8 Impact of 1 Percentage Point Decline in U.S. Growth2.1 Impact of 1 Percentage Point Decline in U.S. Growth: Singapore; 2.2 Impact of 1 Percentage Point Decline in U.S. Growth: Taiwan Province of China; 2.3 GEM Simulation: Spillover from U.S. Slowdown (Without Confidence Effect); 2.4 GEM Simulation: Spillover from U.S. Slowdown (With Confidence Effect); Event Study: Impact of U.S. Recessions on Asia; 2.9 Impact of U.S. Recessions; 2.5 GEM Simulation: Contribution of Countercyclical Policies; 2.10 Impact of 2001 U.S. Recession; 2.6 Change in Output Gap and Change in Fiscal Policy in Asia 327 $a2.7 Change in Output Gap and Change in Monetary Policy in Asia 330 $a2008 is shaping up as a challenging year for Asia. Activity in most economies remains fairly buoyant, but growth in the United States and, to a lesser extent, Europe is slowing sharply. Given its extensive trade and financial linkages with the rest of the world, Asia is unlikely to delink. At the same time, inflation pressures are picking up across much of the region. Moreover, the still-unfolding global financial crisis adds a dimension of uncertainty to the picture, and the balance of risks remains on the downside. 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