LEADER 02126nam 2200517 a 450 001 9910699224303321 005 20230902162022.0 035 $a(CKB)5470000002401666 035 $a(OCoLC)722473406 035 $a(EXLCZ)995470000002401666 100 $a20110511d1988 ua 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurbn||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aSurveys of breeding penguins and other seabirds in the South Shetland Islands, Antarctica, January-February 1987$b[electronic resource] /$fW. David Shuford and Larry B. Spear 210 1$aWoods Hole, Mass. :$cU.S. Dept. of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Center,$d[1988] 215 $a1 online resource (vii, 27 pages) $cmaps 225 1 $aNOAA technical memorandum NMFS-F/NEC ;$v59 300 $aTitle from title screen (viewed on May 11, 2011). 300 $a"September 1988." 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 7-8). 410 0$aNOAA technical memorandum NMFS-F/NEC ;$v59. 606 $aPenguins$zAntarctica$zSouth Shetland Islands 606 $aPygoscelis$zAntarctica$zSouth Shetland Islands 606 $aCrested penguins$zAntarctica$zSouth Shetland Islands 606 $aMacronectes$zAntarctica$zSouth Shetland Islands 606 $aPhalacrocorax$zAntarctica$zSouth Shetland Islands 606 $aSea birds$zAntarctica$zSouth Shetland Islands 615 0$aPenguins 615 0$aPygoscelis 615 0$aCrested penguins 615 0$aMacronectes 615 0$aPhalacrocorax 615 0$aSea birds 700 $aShuford$b W. David$f1949-$01417813 701 $aSpear$b Larry B$01417814 712 02$aNortheast Fisheries Center (U.S.) 712 02$aUnited States Antarctic Marine Living Resources Program. 801 0$bGPO 801 1$bGPO 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910699224303321 996 $aSurveys of breeding penguins and other seabirds in the South Shetland Islands, Antarctica, January-February 1987$93527390 997 $aUNINA LEADER 05560oam 22007095 450 001 9910789488003321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-283-49184-2 010 $a9786613491848 010 $a0-8213-8954-8 024 7 $a10.1596/978-0-8213-8981-2 035 $a(CKB)3460000000023799 035 $a(EBL)868315 035 $a(OCoLC)778459780 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000661566 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12241530 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000661566 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10711435 035 $a(PQKB)11770039 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC868315 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL868315 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10530608 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL349184 035 $a(The World Bank)2011048299 035 $a(US-djbf)17070785 035 $a(EXLCZ)993460000000023799 100 $a20111205d2011 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 00$aKnowing, when you don't know : $eusing microsimulation models to assess the poverty and distributional impacts of macroeconomic shocks /$fedited by Ambar Narayan, Carolina Sanchez-Peramo 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cWorld Bank,$dc2011. 215 $apages cm 225 1 $aWorld Bank studies 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-8213-8981-5 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aContents; List of Contributors; Acknowledgments; Foreword; 1. Assessing the Poverty and Distributional Impacts of the Financial Crisis with Microsimulations: An Overview of Country Studies; Financial Crisis and Its Impact on Poverty; Evaluating the Impact of the Crisis; The Methodology to Estimate Impacts Ex Ante; How the Approach Works; Defining the "Impact": Two Types of Countries; Simulating the Impact of Policy Changes; Caveats to the Approach; Results from Micro-Macro Simulations for Four Countries; Results for Type I Countries; Results for Type II Countries 327 $aSimulating the Impact of Policy ResponsesConclusion; 2. On Economy-Wide Shocks, Models and Politics; When Are Second-Round and Systemic Effects a First-Order Concern?; Implications; When Can Information Affect Government Behavior?; Conclusion and a Note on the World Bank; 3. The Distributional Consequences of the Economic and Financial Crisis of 2008-09: A Comment; Backdrop to the Issue of Distributional Consequences; Thinking about the Problem; The Guts of the U.S. Story; Some Basic Generalizations; The Current Crisis in Perspective; Results of Quick Post Crisis Surveys 327 $aTakeaway Observations of Relevance for Policy4. Stress Testing for the Poverty Impacts of the Next Crisis; Introduction; The Need for a Social Protection Assessment Program (SPAP); An Overview of the Workshop Papers and Presentations; An Assessment, and What's Missing; Conclusion; References; Figures; Figure 1.1: Scheme of the modeling process; Figure 1.2: Impacts in Type I and Type II countries; Figure 1.3: Percent change in sectoral employment between benchmark and crisis (2010); Figure 1.4: Percent change in household income between benchmark and crisis scenarios (2010) 327 $aFigure 1.5: Percent change in poverty/inequality indicators between crisis and benchmarkFigure 1.6: Percent losses in income for the general population (left) and the crisis-vulnerable (right); Figure 1.7: Percentage of poor and crisis-vulnerable households in rural areas; Figure 1.8: Percentage of households with low-skilled heads; Figure 1.9: Growth incidence curves: percent change in income (relative to the benchmark) due to crisis; Figure 1.10: Transitions across deciles of per capita income (percent of households in each decile) 327 $aFigure 1.11: Macroeconomic projections for Mexico (2008-09 are actual observations 2010-11 are forecasts); Figure 1.12: Growth incidence curve for Mexico (2008-09); Figure 1.13: Transitions across deciles in Mexico; Figure 1.14: Growth incidence curves for Mexico (2010-11); Figure 1.15: Transitions across deciles for the period 2010-11; Figure 2.1: The welfare impact of food price changes in the 1997 Indonesian crisis across households; Figure 2.2: The pattern of change in deposits, by size and ownership of deposits, in the lead up to the Argentine financial crisis 327 $aFigure 3.1: The top percentile (1%) of U.S. income (incomes above US368,000 in 2008) 330 $aEconomists have long sought to predict how macroeconomic shocks willaffect individual welfare. Macroeconomic data and forecasts are easilyavailable when crises strike. But policy action requires not onlyunderstanding the magnitude of a macro shock, but also identifyingwhich households or individuals are being hurt by (or benefit from) thecrisis.A popular solution is to extrapolate the welfare impact of a shockfrom the historical response of income or consumption poverty tochanges in output, by estimating an 'elasticity' of poverty togrowth. Although this method provides an estimate for the agg 410 0$aWorld Bank e-Library. 606 $aDepressions 606 $aPoverty 606 $aEconomics 615 0$aDepressions. 615 0$aPoverty. 615 0$aEconomics. 676 $a339.4/6015195 701 $aNarayan$b Ambar$01465791 701 $aSa?nchez-Pa?ramo$b Carolina$01465792 801 0$bDLC 801 1$bDLC 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910789488003321 996 $aKnowing, when you don't know$93676000 997 $aUNINA LEADER 02943nam 2200697Ia 450 001 9910968558503321 005 20251210202432.0 010 $a1-926685-68-7 035 $a(CKB)2550000000004445 035 $a(OCoLC)503447681 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebrary10398730 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000432023 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11965442 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000432023 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10478102 035 $a(PQKB)10013145 035 $a(GLC)434674 035 $a(CaBNvSL)slc00224868 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3028166 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10312652 035 $a(OCoLC)923683658 035 $a(VaAlCD)20.500.12592/hxrb01 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3028166 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000000004445 100 $a20070523d2007 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aGrowling tiger, roaring dragon /$fDavid Smith 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aVancouver $cDouglas & McIntyre$dc2007 215 $a1 online resource (272 p.) 300 $aFirst published London : Profile Books, 2007 under title: The dragon and the elephant. 311 08$a1-55365-334-3 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aIntroduction: India, China and the new world order -- The return of history -- Enter the dragon -- India rising -- China roars, the world listens -- India's networked economy -- China versus India -- Ten ways China and India will (and won't) change the world. 330 $aThe ascension of China and India will be the outstanding development of the 21st century, raising fundamental questions about both the structure of the world economy and the balance of global geopolitical power. How aggressive a superpower will China be? And what about India, whose vast population and economic prospects appear to guarantee prosperity? Economist David Smith analyzes in depth the rapid eastward shift in global power to Beijing and Delhi — and its enormous ramifications for the west. 517 3 $aGrowling tiger, roaring dragon :$eIndia, China and the new world order 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zChina 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zIndia 606 $aGeopolitics 606 $aInternational economic relations 607 $aChina$xEconomic conditions$y2000- 607 $aIndia$xEconomic conditions$y21st century 615 0$aEconomic forecasting 615 0$aEconomic forecasting 615 0$aGeopolitics. 615 0$aInternational economic relations. 676 $a330.951/06 700 $aSmith$b David$f1954 April 3-$0437868 701 $aSmith$b David$f1954 Apr. 3-$01861923 712 02$aGibson Library Connections, Inc. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910968558503321 996 $aGrowling tiger, roaring dragon$94468153 997 $aUNINA