LEADER 02909nam 2200469Ia 450 001 9910698359503321 005 20080618115830.0 035 $a(CKB)25435500000041 035 $a(OCoLC)190773531 035 $a(EXLCZ)9925435500000041 100 $a20080111d2007 ua 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurbn||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aSustaining the peace after civil war$b[electronic resource] /$fT. David Mason 210 1$a[Carlisle Barracks, PA] :$c[Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College],$d[2007] 215 $aviii, 108 pages $cdigital, PDF file 300 $aTitle from title screen (viewed on Jan. 10, 2008). 300 $a"December 2007." 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 94-108). 327 $aDefining the risk set: which nations are susceptible to civil war? -- Win, lose, or draw: how civil wars end -- Sustaining the peace after civil war -- From peacekeeping to peace building -- Conclusions -- Post-script: the war in Iraq. 330 $aSince the end of World War II, there have been four times as many civil wars as interstate wars. For a small subset of nations civil war is a chronic condition: about half of the civil war nations have had at least two and as many as six conflicts. This book presents an analytical framework that has been used to identify a set of factors that make civil war more or less likely to recur in a nation where a civil war has recently terminated. The outcome of the previous civil war -- whether it ended in a government victory, a rebel victory or a negotiated settlement -- as well as the duration and deadliness of the conflict affect the durability of the peace after civil war. The introduction of peacekeeping forces, investment in economic development and reconstruction, and the establishment of democratic political institutions tailored to the configuration of ethnic and religious cleavages in the society also affect the durability of peace after civil war. The book closes by applying these propositions in an analysis of the civil war in Iraq: what can be done to bring the Iraq conflict to an earlier, less destructive, and more stable conclusion? 606 $aCivil war 606 $aCivil war$xForecasting 606 $aPeace 606 $aIraq War, 2003-2011$xEvaluation 606 $aIraq War, 2003-2011$xPeace 615 0$aCivil war. 615 0$aCivil war$xForecasting. 615 0$aPeace. 615 0$aIraq War, 2003-2011$xEvaluation. 615 0$aIraq War, 2003-2011$xPeace. 700 $aMason$b T. David$g(Thomas David),$f1950-$01182938 712 02$aArmy War College (U.S.).$bStrategic Studies Institute. 801 0$bGPO 801 1$bGPO 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910698359503321 996 $aSustaining the peace after civil war$93508814 997 $aUNINA